Wang Yuanzhe: The oil price has fallen to a negative value, making history. Is Texas's production restriction enough to turn the tide?

[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]In general, the recent market has fluctuated greatly, with some people happy and others worried. Overnight, the stock market has exploded and flipped. Please entrust professional matters to a professional team. Why do you always lose money? I understand! There are just a few types: mistakenly believing the so-called "teacher", not carrying a stop loss, and carrying orders and exploding positions. Why does the teacher who orders you always ask you to add more funds after you have already invested a lot of money. And even if you lose money, you can't find the reason, and you always feel something is wrong in your heart, and you can't say it. Making a loss on an order resulted in a decrease in principal and then continuing to add funds. However, in the end, you still lost money. Have you never thought about why? Nowadays, many beginners also lose money by operating on their own. They either miss or make mistakes in the market, buy and sell, and then rise, causing losses in orders! What we do ultimately leads to small gains and big losses. This is the mindset. Most of you miss out on many profit opportunities due to indecisiveness in real gold and silver, and will actually lose money. And currently, the platforms are all low spread, so why are you still losing money?[/font][/size]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　[b][color=#ff0000]　>>>>4.21Golden Operation Strategy Express:[/color][/b][/font][/size]
[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　[b]　①日内如果再度回弹，测压1700附近依旧可轻仓搏短空，但再次参与短空，仓位务必进一步压缩，止损依旧带1705，目标同前。[/b][/font][/size]
[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　[b]②如果日内行情一直持续位于1690下方运行，那么短空参与亦可适当的降低点位再做参与，但这必须有待时间上的考验，具体可待晚盘前后考虑。[/b][/font][/size]
[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　[b]　③短期内莫急于参与多单，下方回撤1673-70、1660-57时根据实际情况再做实盘调整。[/b][/font][/size][align=center][size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai][b][img]http://mpimg.cnfol.com/ueditor/202004/21/1587440641704837.png[/img][/b][/font][/size][/align]
[b][size=3][color=#ff0000][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　>>>>4.21Technical analysis of precious metal gold:[/font][/color][/size][/b]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　1、昨日黄金在1670附近止跌回弹，晚间如预期测压至上方1703附近后承压回修，跌回至1690附近震荡，日线收得一带有上下影线的小阳，承压在5、10日线下。[/font][/size]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　2、日线结构上，昨日收小阳，表明了当前行情的回弹动作是对上周五大阴线的消化，满足了破位后的回弹确认压力的需要，同时也继续保持了上周五大阴线带来了偏弱格局。预期日内行情大概率会继续承压在5、10日线下偏弱震荡运行，不过在昨日有回弹的前提下，短期行情有可能会演变为横盘震荡，技术结构形成下跌中继，虽然这依旧有下跌的趋向性，但是再度下跌的时间可能会有所延迟，且空间上也会受到一定的压缩。日内下方继续关注1673-70这个前期的交易密集区域，视作为短线支撑，而主要支撑依旧看20日线的回踩，目前20日线处于1657附近，但随着时间的推移可能会有所上移，故可将1660-50一带视作为近期行情回撤调整的主要支撑区域。[/font][/size]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　3、结合小时图走势，日内上方重点还是关注1700-03压制，只要不回到1700上方站稳，则短线行情大概率还是会再有一波回撤调整的。下方则关注1673-70支撑继续震荡，如果日内行情一直处于1690以下震荡，则短期内行情破位1670的概率会有加速可能，届时下方可着重关注1660、1650Nearby support testing.[/font][/size]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　4、操作上，短线依旧以持空以及择高再尝试短空为主，但必须是在1700未被有效站上的前提下，如果重返1700上方站稳，则放弃短线所有操作，有待盘中再做调整，下方未见回撤20日线前，莫急于尝试短多。[/font][/size][align=center][img]http://mpimg.cnfol.com/ueditor/202004/21/1587440651625434.png[/img]​[/align]
[b][size=3][color=#ff0000][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　>>>>4.21Technical analysis of crude oil:[/font][/color][/size][/b]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　1、隔夜美国原油期货5月合约崩跌，史上首次跌至负值区域，出现这种情况的原因是多重因素决定的，主要是5月合约面临交割，市场极差的流动性以及市场传闻美储油空间达极限值，导致市场恐慌多杀多，当然其中也掺杂了政治因素，即对沙特、俄罗斯的反击。可以看出这并不是真正的原油行情走势，因为6月合约以及布伦特原油并未受到太大的影响，更像是一次偶发的黑天鹅事件，究其根本原因，还是和全球疫情蔓延导致经济黯淡，原油需求大幅降低有关，因此从此此黑天鹅事件我们需要注意的是，受疫情影响，未来的黑天鹅事件还会有，务必加以防范，另外市场超出了可以预料的范畴，对此风险性需要重新评估。[/font][/size]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　2、虽然5月份合约出现崩跌出现负值，但多数经纪商已经转至6Monthly contract, currently6月合约也并未出现大幅的回落，但是还是受到了一定的影响。根据其技术走势，隔夜一度回撤至20附近，随后又围绕在21上方震荡回弹，整体走势并不是很悲观。目前市场可能会受到5月合约负值的影响而出现一定的消极情绪，短期内美油走势也可能难出现大幅的回升反弹，有待市场情绪稳定后，油价或将出现一波报复式的回弹，具体也需根据实际走势再做调整。[/font][/size]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　　3According to6月合约报价，日内下方继续还是关注21as well as20支撑测试，上方重点关注23短压测试，如能重返23上方，则短线弱势情绪基本可得到化解。至于操作上，稳健者暂时还是先观望一下，有待市场情绪稳定，或行情出现明确的回升信号后再择机参与，避开目前极为混乱的交易环境风险。[/font][/size]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]　[b][color=#ff0000]I don't do profit maximization venture capital, only invest in stability and sustained profitability—— Wang Yuanzhe（V+：kz1338[/color][/b][/font][/size][b][color=#ff0000]）[/color][/b]


[size=3][font=Regular script, Regular script_GB2312, SimKai]In the foreign exchange trading market, even if you have good technical skills, please do not operate with heavy positions. A wise man may make a mistake if he thinks twice, and with a heavy position, you can go home with a fine. Give yourself more opportunities and summarize more experiences, which will be a valuable asset in our lifetime! The operation requires a reasonable position ratio and strict stop loss measures. The core of investment is to invest in life, with a long life path and gradually accumulating profits. Even a true nouveau riche will not choose to spend their entire life aimlessly in the next few decades. A person's life should be a process of accumulation, reflecting their own value![/font][/size]