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As of2024year03month29日亚盘时段,虽然整体运行节奏目前依然倾向于震荡为主,不过位置实际上还是处于较高的地带,离2200大关是非常靠近的,只要再次产生一定的利好条件,那么就很大概率再度突破,不过要想继续冲击历史新高的话,就得观察后续的经济数据状况,比如本周五的通胀数据PCE,因为这是决定美联储到底能否在六月份进行降息的关键依据。
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United States2月份核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数将于周五公布。该指数在1The month has risen0.3%。RJO FuturesSenior Marketing StrategistAlex Turro说,“我们必须看看美国国内的通胀是否足够疲软,从而为未来几个月的降息提供清晰的路径”。
交易商认为美联储6The possibility of monthly interest rate cuts is70%。降息可以降低持有非孳息黄金的机会成本。据CMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve5The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is91%Accumulated interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is9%。美联储到6The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is29.9%Accumulated interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is64%Accumulated interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is6%。