ATFXForeign exchange market: Powell denies3Monthly interest rate reduction, the decision of the Bank of England in the evening is likely to be followed...
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today3:00The Federal Reserve announces the results of its interest rate decision and maintains5.5%The federal funds rate remains unchanged, and the US dollar index rises within five minutes0.19%, highest touch103.51点。半小时后的3:30,美联储主席鲍威尔开始讲话,美元指数分钟级别剧烈下跌,至3:50touch103.05最低点,之后启动反弹,4:40触及最高103.74点。可以看出,维持利率不变利多美指,因为降息预期遭受严重冲击;鲍威尔的讲话先利空后利多,因为讲话的前半部分偏鸽派,后半部分偏鹰派。在前半部分讲话中,鲍威尔表示政策利率可能已经达到峰值(暗示降息是必选项);后半部分讲话中,鲍威尔表示三月份不太可能降息(暗示降息时间点较晚)。要知道,市场的主流预期就是美联储在今年三月份首次降息,鲍威尔的发言直接否定了这一预期,美元指数自然会应声上涨。
From a technical perspective,GBPUSD处于中期上涨趋势的横盘震荡阶段,下方R1:1.2597即为近期支撑位。震荡走势已经持续一个半月时间,这段时间里美元指数累计涨幅1.81%,意味着英镑具有远超其它非美货币的抗跌属性,同时又存在补跌的可能性。震荡指标KD的读数处于中等偏下区间,此前快慢线已经向下交叉,短线走势偏空。MACD指标的柱线处于零轴下方,但绝对值偏小,中短期震荡格局显著。综合来看,多数指标认为GBPUSD的震荡格局将会延续,一旦R1被跌破,有可能触发补跌行情。
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There are risks in the market, and investment needs to be cautious. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not consider this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' perspectives may change, and updates will not be notified separately.