CPT MarketsThe cooling of the small non farm employment market and the failure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates as scheduled...

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CPT MarketsThe cooling of the small non farm employment market and the failure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates as scheduled...37 / author:CPT / PostsID:1727605

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today(02month01day)亚市开盘美日货币上涨，其他货币普遍下跌；金价上涨但crude oilIt is showing a downward trend.foreign exchangeAspect: The US dollar index has risen to103.58； The euro fell against the US dollar to1.0807； The pound fell against the US dollar to1.2681； The US dollar fell against the Japanese yen to146.91； The US dollar rose against the Canadian dollar to1.3429； The Australian dollar fell against the US dollar to0.6574。 In terms of precious metals:goldRising to USD2040.63。 In terms of crude oil: Brent crude oil fell to80.47。

dollar/Cad (USDCAD)：

CPT MarketsThe cooling of the small non farm employment market and the failure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates as scheduled...111 / author:CPT / PostsID:1727605

美元兑加元周三收盘大幅上涨后，今日开盘升至1.3429附近，美联储周三如期维持利率不变，最新政策声明并未暗示即将降息。

周三美联储如期维持利率不变，但朝着在未来几个月降息迈出了一大步，其政策声明称通胀担忧和其他经济风险缓解，并去掉了长期以来一直采用的可能进一步加息的措辞。但美联储最新政策声明并未暗示即将降息，称制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会FOMC认为在对通胀持续朝着2%目标回落有更大信心前，降低指标利率目标区间是不合适的。

In terms of yesterday's financial event data, Statistics Canada announced11monthGDP年季率皆高于预期至1.1%and0.2%，显示出该国国内生产小幅成长。美国自动数据处理公司ADP公布就业人数变动比预期下跌至10.7Ten thousand, for2023year11月以来最小增幅，反映出劳动力就业市场有所萎缩。 ADP报告显示，去年的招聘放缓现象延续至1月，工资压力持续缓解。上月跳槽者的薪酬溢价降至新低，美国1月工资涨幅继续缩小。 1月就业人员薪资同比增长5.2%，低于去年12Of5.4%。对于换工作的人来说，工资增幅为7.2%, for2021year5月以来的最小年增幅。此外，美国采购经理人协会芝加哥分会公布1monthPMIDown to46，指数低于50%显示制造业经济活动产生萧条的忧虑。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 1.3420，1.3470； From the downward direction, the lower support1.3390。

euro/pound (EURGBP)：

CPT MarketsThe cooling of the small non farm employment market and the failure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates as scheduled...250 / author:CPT / PostsID:1727605

The euro rose against the pound on Wednesday and fell back behind, dropping to0.8524附近，由于德国12月实际零售销售好坏参半后，欧元上行空间受限。

荷兰合作银行的经济学家分析从六个月的角度来看，仍然认为欧元/英镑有走低至 0.8400 水平的空间。预计英国央行在周四的政策会议上更有可能令市场鸽派失望，而不是鼓励他们，这支持了我们的观点。尽管英镑今年开局表现强劲，但 CFTC 投机者的部位数据显示，净多头规模仍然适中。这表明，如果英国央行采取鹰派立场，英镑仍有上行空间。相较之下，尽管德国发布了一系列疲软数据，但自 2022 年底以来，市场一直坚定看多欧元。机构认为欧洲央行将继续按兵不动，直到更确定欧元区的薪资通胀已经放缓。然而，市场认为欧洲央行在 1 月的政策会议上采取了略微鸽派的立场，这可能会增加欧元对欧元区疲软经济数据的敏感性，并促使净多头部位减少。

Yesterday's financial event data was released by the German Federal Bureau of Statistics12月实际零售销售年月率好坏参半，分别比预期改善至-1.7%And rise to-1.6%，尽管长期销售有所上升，但整体市场对零售商品需求仍下降。此外，德国统计局公布1The monthly unemployment rate has dropped below expectations5.8% (报失业人数变动下降至-0.2ten thousand people)，反映出劳动力就业市场有所成长。在通胀数据方面，德国联邦统计局公布1monthCPIThe monthly rate is2.9%and0.2%，调和年月率下跌至3.1%and-0.2%，显示出通胀压力有小幅减缓。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 0.8520，0.8570； From the downward direction, the lower support0.8490。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.