ATFXForeign exchange market: The Bank of Japan maintains its negative interest rate policy unchanged, and the governor stated that they will patiently maintain it...

Bank of Japan12Monthly interest rate resolution announced, maintained-0.1%的基准利率不变，维持0.00%of10年期国债收益率目标不变。行长植田和男表示，将耐心维持宽松货币政策，必要时将毫不犹豫采取更多宽松措施，由于美联储的原因急于改变政策是不恰当的，目前很难确定退出负利率政策的计划。受此消息影响，USDJPY在今日10:50~10:55from142.65Up to143.4，之后因为行长植田和男的讲话，USDJPY在今日14:40~14:45from143.68Falling to the lowest point142.51，随后在收盘时反弹至143.27。综合来看，日本央行12月利率决议对USDJPY起到了提振作用，亦即驱动了日元的短期贬值。不过，从日线周期看，USDJPY仍处于显著的空头趋势之中。


From a technical perspective,USDJPY处于长期多头趋势下的中期下跌趋势之中，最近三个交易日连续收阳，反弹态势显著。市价位于蓝色回归线上方，最近三根K线没有形成顶分形阻力的迹象，所以回归线的向下牵引力尚不明显。下方支撑位140INTEGER GATES ANDS1:137.24值得重点关注。短期均线系统仍处于死叉状态。震荡指标KD的读数处于中间偏下区域，并且有向上交叉的迹象，意味着短线反弹走势正在初具延续性。MACD指标的柱线处于零轴下方，且绝对值较大，意味着中期空头趋势仍占据上方，反弹走势可能很快就会遇到阻力。

宏观经济数据看，日本央行10monthCPIthe annual rate3.3%，高于央行调控目标2%。实际上，日本的通胀率已经连续一年多时间高于央行目标，早已满足了加息至零利率的条件，这也是金融市场持续预期日本央行将放弃负利率政策的原因。今日利率决议结果发布后，十年期日本国债收益率0.67%Descend to0.622%，意味着部分押注日本央行加息的资金撤销了订单。如果日本央行行长坚持发表“耐心维持宽松货币政策”的言论，十年期国债收益率大概率将继续下降，日元的币值将持续受削弱。

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2023-12-19