This Wednesday15:00,英国国家统计局将公布11monthCPIAnnual rate, previous value is4.6%, expected4.4%Expected to occur0.2个百分点的下降。英国11monthCPI月率数据,同一时间公布,前值为0.00%,尚无预期值发布。从历史数据看,英国10monthCPI年率相比9月份骤降,意味着通胀率已经进入快速下行状态。英国央行已经连续三期利率决议宣布暂停加息,基准利率维持在5.25%高位不变,意味着英央行也认同高通胀问题不再严峻的判断。如果11monthCPI年率如预期下降,则英央行和金融市场对于高通胀的担忧将再度大幅下降。由于GBPUSD的波动主要由美元指数主导,所以11Month UKCPI数据对汇率的影响不大。需要提醒的是,英国的CPI数据走势并不平缓,10月份数据有异常波动的可能,果真如此的话,11monthCPI年率有小概率出现升高。
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