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Gold and Silver News-曾莫哲:双十一黄金白银晚间操作指南

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Gold and Silver News-曾莫哲:双十一goldSilver Evening Operation Guide
  
Within the day(11month11Review of the gold and silver market in Japan:
  
Monday(11month11日)早间开盘1288dollar/盎司,亚盘时段基本在1285dollar/盎司附近盘整,上方最高触及1289dollar/盎司附近,欧市盘中,扩大跌幅,进一步刷新日低至1279.10dollar/盎司,现报于1284dollar/盎司;而天通银日内就没有多大的波动,截止曾莫哲落笔落整体30个点的波动,现在报于4220element/千克;因投资者持续消化上周五(11month8日)强于预期的非农就业数据,该数据再度引发了市场对美联储缩减宽松的担忧,不过黄金、白银日内波动依然非常有限。
  
  市场消息面分析:
  
  本周将迎来关键的美联储下任主席提名者——耶伦的听证会。由于耶伦一贯坚持的是鸽派立场,这可能令美元短期遭遇高位受压而给黄金带来支撑。耶伦周四(11month14日)在美国参议院金融委员会作证时,将必须面对共和党方面反对美联储的诸多激烈言辞。总统奥巴马提名耶伦接任伯南克担任美联储主席,伯南克任期将于1月届满,众所周知,伯南克是鹰派立场。
  
  虽说10月份美国政府停摆,对经济产生了非常大的影响,但美国10月新增非农就业人数20.4万,远超预期,对于缩减QE的迫切希望;但是同时劳动力参与率再创35年新低,并且10The monthly unemployment rate is determined by7.2%Ascend to7.3%,这样的的一个矛盾数据,打乱了正常的经济节奏,也可以明显的看出政治角力。也就是美国国内缩减QE的一方。这让年底缩减QE的预期再度升温,同时美国参议院银行业委员会将在11month14日就耶伦的美联储主席提名举行听证会。
  
  有“美联储通讯社”之称的记者HilsenrathWeighing,10月非农就业可能让美联储讨论缩减QE,可能12月开始,但这取决于增长和就业回升。因此本周投资者可以密切关注经济数据的好坏。
  
Gold and Silver News-According to Zeng Mozhe's statistical data, the world's main goldETF--SPDRGoldTrustby11month11The daily gold position remained unchanged compared to the previous trading day, as868.42Tons, total value approximately358.75USD100mn Global Major SilverETF--iSharesSilverTrustby11month11日的白银持仓量较上一交易日持平,于10497.75Tons, total value approximately73.74USD100mn
  
Technical analysis of spot gold (London gold):
  
From day to dayK线来看,日线在下破布林中轨后转收大阴,技术面依旧维持空头,MACD形成死叉开口,金价亚欧盘还有继续下行的需要,上方阻力下移MA5of257.2amount of moneyMA10of259.2,晚间不破,金价短期会维持空头持续下去。4小时图看,金价周五非农数据公布后,两根大阴下行,随后一根小阳修复,目前布林带向下开口,MACD死叉运行,而多项指标显示非农引发的下跌已经超卖,晚间需警惕超跌反弹,综合来看,上周欧美消息面仍然是主导技术走势发展的重要因素。虽然非农走势走出了盘中的单边下行,但技术姿态上主线走势实则宽幅震荡,曾莫哲建议本周围绕1310-1251区域进行震荡操作,逼近区间低档谨慎追空。
  
Evening Operation Guidelines for Spot Gold (London Gold):
  
  1Touching below1278-1280Long on the front line, stop loss4.8A dot, look up1285-1288frontline;
  
  2See above1288-1290Short on the front line, stop loss1293Take a look below1285-1283frontline;
  
  3、上方埋伏好1395-1298First line empty orders, stop loss5A point, take a look1293-1290frontline;
  
  4、下方埋伏好1270-1273Multiple orders on the first line, stop loss1267Look up1278;
  
  5The above suggestions are for reference only. For specific orders for gold, please contact Gold and Silver Express personally:1799447835Spot gold ordering experience Junyang:177263771Group entry verification code: Jinyin Express.
  
Technical analysis of spot silver (Tiantong Silver):
  
  天通银走势相对黄金更为缓和,周线上布林带缩口平行运行,银价处于布林带中轨4230附近,均线指标密集纠缠于布林中轨附近,上方受布林上轨4800压制,下方受3720支撑,附图MACDto0轴下方金叉上行,红柱动能缩减;日线上布林带缩口平行运行,银价上方刺破布林上轨触及4558后回落,目前处于布林中下轨之间,上方均线指标密集纠缠于4280-4350一线,对银价形成强烈压制,下方受布林下轨4140支撑,附图MACDto0轴附近死叉下行,绿柱动能增强。晚间做单方面曾莫哲建议以区间操作为主,破位则顺势,做单严格止损。
  
  现货白银(天通银)晚间操作指南:
  
  1、晚间下方触及4180Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss4140Look up4230-4250frontline;
  
  2See above4250-4280Frontline empty orders entering, stop loss45A point, take a look4230-4200frontline;
  
  3The above suggestions are for reference only. For specific orders from Silver, please contact Gold and Silver Express1799447835Spot silver ordering experience Junyang:151270497Group entry verification code: Jinyin Express.
  
  晚间关注消息面:
  
  晚间并无重要消息数据公布
  
  
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