Liu Yanrui:10.18早现货黄金、原油、大秦商品、宁贵沥青操作建议

Liu Yanrui:10.18早现货gold、crude oilSuggestions for the operation of Daqin Commodity and Ninggui Asphalt

Message surface parsing:

United StatesCOMEX12Monthly goldfuturesElectronic disk price Monday(10month17day)Closing up0.90USD, increase0.3%Report1256.40dollar/ounce;金价上涨，部分受助于上市交易基金(ETF)Gold holdings have steadily increased, and the US dollar has fallen after hitting a seven month high.

　　同时，美元指数从稍早触及的七个月高位回落也给金价带来支撑，因投资者评估美联储是否会在加息前让通胀高于目标。

United StatesWTI11Monthly crude oil futures electronic price Monday(10month17day)Closing down0.28USD, decline0.38%Report50.07dollar/bucket;Oil prices fell, pressured by concerns of oversupply, and a surge in trading volume drove US crude oil prices to break through at one point50The US dollar, but with limited decline, is expected to see a decrease in shale oil production in the United States.

Meanwhile,ICEBrent12The electronic price of monthly crude oil futures closed down0.11USD, decline0.21%Report51.68dollar/Bucket.

　　薇，信liuyanrui89认为，交易员手头累积了大量的多头头寸，在合约到期前寻求出售，因美国商品期货交易委员会限制他们能持有的头寸数量。而上周五石油服务供应商贝克休斯的报告继续向美国原油施加压力。报告显示，截至10month14日当周，美国石油钻探平台增加了四座。

　　分析师刘衍睿认为，油市受到石油输出国组织(OPEC)Member states may take action later next month to support expected support for oil prices, but oversupply still puts pressure on oil prices.

Technical analysis of spot asphalt:

　　隔夜现货沥青完全符合预期在运行，整体维持在100点左右波幅，上行受强压4870附近压制，下方受4760附近支持，日图最终收取小阴线，现货沥青从四小时图上来看，布林带逐渐缩口，K线运行于布林带中轨附近，盘面上沥青高开附图MACD放量缩减，KDJ指标粘合向上发散，日线图上来看，盘面上沥青高开运行，布林带开口扩大，KLine attachment5日均线运行，日线图上5Daily moving average underpass10日均线死叉运行，K线在此处承压，附图MACD指标放量缩减，总体大趋势上，沥青还是空头趋势。日内操作上薇，信liuyanrui89还是建议以高空为主。

　　现货沥青宁贵沥青可参考操作建议：
　　策略一：首次反弹4840/4850Short selling, stop loss30Point, target4760nearby
　　策略二：埋伏好4900Empty order, stop loss40点，短线目标100Point above
　　策略三：下方4750Long, stop loss4720, Objective4800/4820
　　策略四：跌破4720rebound4735Short selling in line with the trend, stop loss30点，目标咨询笔者刘衍睿

　　大秦商品大秦沥青可参考操作建议：
　　策略一：首次反弹2510/2520Short selling, stop loss30Point, target2470/2460
　　策略二：埋伏好2545Empty order, stop loss40Point, look at the target80-100spot
　　策略三：下方2455Long, stop loss30Points, target2500-2510

　　附：原油上方建议在50.3Short nearby, stop loss0.4, Objective49.5Below49.3Long, stop loss0.3, Objective50.3

Technical analysis of spot gold:

　　现货黄金日图上，布林带开口扩大，附图MACD指标放量缩减，双线有金叉迹象，KDJ指标粘合向上发散，从盘面上来看，K线一直维持于低位进行横盘整理，且依附日图5Daily moving average and10日均线运行。四小时图上，布林带走平K线运行于布林带中轨处，附图MACD指标金叉放量运行，布林带走平，周内将随时爆发行情，预计短线将有一个小4浪反弹，综合来看，日内下行1250将形成一定的支持，若市场出现诱空也很难出现深跌，对于反弹上预计本轮有望测试1290上方，由于大阴下跌黄金价格趋势上或将已经形成空头，操作上，低多为辅，高空为主。

The spot gold section can refer to operational suggestions:
Strategy 1:1252Loss1249，日内目标1261/1265/1270

　　撰稿人：刘衍睿
Time:2016year10month18day
　　温馨提示：入市有风险，操作上注意合理把控风险及利润，祝各位投资愉快!