Li Youya:3month31Daily spot asphalt4The monthly market is difficult to break out of the unilateral downward trend again

Li Youya:3month31Daily spot asphalt4The monthly market is difficult to break out of the unilateral downward trend again



Chinese football has finally made the emergence of theory possible and entered the final stage of the Asian region of the World Cup12Strong competition, the land of our motherland, and universal celebration seem to have given fans hope and dawn. At the same time, the Chinese stock market opened high yesterday and eventually closed with a positive line. As the spring flowers bloomed, the rebound of the stock market once again made the Chinese stock market, which is equally famous as Chinese football, miraculous. However, magic does not always exist, it is only an occasional flash of inspiration. After Chinese football and the Chinese stock market,crude oilThe asphalt market has also come to an end after its previous miraculous rebound, with an increase of up to30%Left and right, on3month15After that, there was finally a change of direction. After entering the vernal equinox, a green and vibrant scenery fully matched the temperament that spring should have.



Entering this year2Since the beginning of the month, due to the freeze production agreement between oil producing countries and the decline of the US dollar index after the first interest rate hike, coupled with the impact of terrorist attacks, commodities have rebounded to a certain extent driven by precious metals, and asphalt is also the same,3Around mid month, due to the improvement of US employment and economic data, the market once again ignited enthusiasm for the Federal Reserve's second rate hike. The high enthusiasm also led to a short-term fundamental bottom in the US dollar index, and commodities showed a short-term peak under the correction of precious metals, which is about to enter4In the new time window of the month, there will certainly be another scene, taking asphalt as an example,4In this month, while focusing on whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, we should also closely monitor the trends among oil producing countries,4Whether the Doha meeting in June can provide substantial support for crude oil or disappoint the market again is still a matter of doubt. From the actual supply side of crude oil, Iran and Iraq not only did not follow the freeze production agreement between oil producing countries, but production has increased without decrease. Saudi Arabia, Russia and other countries have their own calculations, so the freeze production meeting may end up being another farce, but before a definitive meeting result is given, There is a possibility of speculation in the market;On the other hand, the market has just been4At a time when the enthusiasm for a possible interest rate hike in the month was ignited, the dovish remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen directly dampened this enthusiasm. In the context of a global economic slowdown, the Federal Reserve still needs to be cautious in raising interest rates. Although the recovery of the job market and the economy is strong, the Federal Reserve has to consider the negative impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on the global economic downturn and the potential significant rebound of the US dollar on the economy. So the freeze agreement and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike seem to have an impact4The two events in the overall market trend of the month cannot be ruled out, which will be thunder, heavy rain, and small points, and ultimately come to an end, allowing the market to operate freely.

Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market. Every investor needs to have a basic understanding of the market and risks, and must avoid blind worship and investment. It's not too late for friends who set or lock orders to find a reasonable solution, at least the loss can be recovered. Please contact the author separately to kowtow3175-3275-79It's not too late, add the author's analyst team to make a firm offer for a single skirt339-369-738remarks:03Ready to participate.



The arrival of scorching summer must go through the transition of spring, which is often the season with the most frequent climate change. The process of alternating yin and yang is accompanied by a gradual rise in temperature, and the changes in seasons are also reflected in the technical trend of asphalt. Based on historical trends, it is not difficult to find that the trend of spring asphalt generally passes through in a fluctuating manner without obvious direction, And the summer solstice is indeed the starting time point for the market to turn from strong to weak, so when it enters4The overall trend is expected to fluctuate in the month and even before the summer solstice. In terms of technical graphics, the asphalt monthly line chart was last year5Month rebound to month lineMA10Afterwards,6month22Around the day, the market began to change and retrace until January of this year, setting a new low. However, the monthly chart has rebounded againMA10Nearby obstructed and falling, it is expected that the graph in months will revolve aroundMA10The competition is once again unfolding, and the historical trend is always worth searching for patterns and drawing inspiration from the past two years4Month to5From the monthly trend, it is a fluctuating upward trend, so 4The monthly market is difficult to break out of the unilateral downward trend again.



In a unilateral market, we can search for the pattern of the technical moving average after a rebound in a downward trend to carry out short or long order operations. In a volatile market, we can make corresponding high selling and low buying strategies in the range. Any market has a certain guiding operation plan. Since the fundamental and technical aspects are combined with the corresponding time window to determine the possible volatile market, So, based on our years of professional guidance experience in this market, we will develop corresponding operational plans to maximize profits by utilizing reasonable fund allocation and position layout. This is what we ultimately need to achieve,4The fluctuating market in the month is worth looking forward to.



Asphalt3Operation strategy for the last trading day of the month:



　　1Rebound3250Short nearby, stop loss3300, Objective3170reach3180；

　　2.Callback3130Long nearby, stop loss3090, Objective3170reach318；



Today's closing line, based on yesterday's daily chart, there is still a demand for a favorable correction today. However, do not be overly bearish, as the wide range fluctuations that may occur during the closing line of the monthly line may also occur. Therefore, the operation should be handled with a weak fluctuation approach.

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