From a technical perspective,USDCHF处于中期空头趋势之中,2024年以来出现了反弹迹象。反弹波段已经与下降趋势线重叠,有可能遇阻回落。市价处于蓝色回归线上方,受到向下的回归牵引力,一旦最新K线形成顶分形组合,遇阻回落概率将大增。振荡指标KD的读数逼近80超买线,如果快慢线在高位向下交叉,短期抛压增大。MACD指标的柱状线处于零轴上方,绝对值不断放大,中期反弹趋势有增强迹象。综合来看,多数指标认为USDCHF有遇阻回落迹象,但也有个别指标认为反弹走势还将延续。
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