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11month29Day,EURUSDHighest touch1.1017,随后开启跌势,至昨日已经连续下跌6Accumulated decline for trading days2.1%, lowest touch1.0759,振幅258标准点。与此同时,美元指数反弹1.41%,最高达到104.24,存在重启涨势的迹象。
11month29日至今,财经日历当中与美国宏观经济相关的中药经济指标有:第三季度实际GDPRevised value of annualized quarterly rate5.2%, higher than the previous value4.9%,利多美指;10Monthly CorePCEAnnual rate of price index3.5%,略低于前值3.7%,利空美指;11monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI终值,保持49.4不变,影响性较弱;11monthADPEmployment numbers10.3万人,略低于前值10.6万人,远低于预期值13万人,利空美指。综合来看,经济数据层面利空美指的数据占主流,其并非影响近期美元指数走向的关键因素。
From a technical perspective,EURUSD处于长期空头趋势下的反弹阶段,经过连日收阴后,反弹阶段已经出现筑顶迹象。勾形通道下轨已经被跌破,如果今日收出中阴线,则形成有效突破,中期趋势由多转空将得到确认。均线系统MA20andMA30尚未向下交叉,连续跌势仍有机会触底反弹。震荡指标KD的读数处于中等区间内,此前已经在超买区形成死叉,预示下跌仍有充足空间。KD指标的研判结果和均线系统不一致,原因是前者适用于中短周期而后者适用于中期。波动率指标ATRLatest value63,意味着单日振幅在63基点左右,波动性中等,可适度参与。
Risk reminder, disclaimer, special statement:
There are risks in the market, and investment needs to be cautious. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not consider this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' perspectives may change, and updates will not be notified separately.