Guo Shengxin:5.15今日黄金原油价格是涨是跌、周初趋势交易策略

　　【goldAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends

Monday（5month15During the Asian session, spot gold rose slightly and is currently trading in2016.80dollar/The concern about the risk of US debt default near ounce provides hedge support for gold price(G7)Finance ministers and governors have warned that economic uncertainty is increasing, providing some support for gold prices. However, the US dollar index has also received an influx of safe haven funds, and the long-term inflation expectations of US consumers have jumped to2011At its highest level since the beginning of the year, US bond yields have also gained upward momentum, which may limit the upward space for gold prices. Analysts said, "Given that we will see the debt ceiling issue continue in the coming weeks and there is limited room for a stronger US dollar, if this situation continues, gold will benefit." Market analysts said that bullish sentiment in the gold market remains strong in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut later this year, and traders have actually digested it9Interest rate reduction before the month25Expectations of basis points. Overall, the United States6The risk of default intensified at the beginning of the month, and concerns about the debt ceiling deepened in the financial market,G7The summit will strengthen sanctions against Russia, crack down on Russia's energy and trade, providing safe haven support for gold prices. However, the US dollar rebounded strongly last week, and the short-term bullish signal of the US dollar has increased, which may limit the upward space of gold prices in the short term.

Last week, the small bearish candlestick of gold fell and closed lower, repeatedly probing higher levels to form a downward pressure. The weekly closing of the closing session closed at2010Nearby. Last week, several high point breakthroughs were unsuccessful, and eventually fell back to2000Seeking support at the integer level and falling into shock, the opening this week is still at a neutral low position, continue to pay attention2000The gains and losses at the checkpoint will be further adjusted downwards if left behind, while holding onto will lead to high level fluctuations and potential accumulation. At present, the daily line is also approaching the support of the trend line2000Support overlap. The gains and losses of this position determine the direction of this week.4The second exploration of the hour chart has not broken, and there is a possibility that the short line structure may have a head shoulder top shape. It is currently in the process of construction, and the previous two attempts2048-2040The area is obstructed and falling, this position is a bearish defensive point. Below this level, it is still slightly bearish, and the current closing is weak below the medium track. Below is2000关口的防守。破位才能打开空间。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟鑫建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注2020-2025Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1995-2000Frontline support.

　　【crude oilAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends

　　5month15At the beginning of the Asian market on Monday, US crude oil was trading at70dollar/Near the barrel; Oil prices fell nearly last Friday2%And the weekly trend has fallen for the third consecutive week, as the market balances supply concerns with renewed economic concerns. At the same time, the issue of the US debt ceiling increased the risk of market uncertainty, dragging down oil prices. Investors are concerned that the Fed's aggressive rate hikes may push the economy into recession. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated last Friday that if inflation remains high, the Fed may need to further raise interest rates. On the whole, the impact of the US debt ceiling concern on the market has deepened,G7The Finance Ministers' Summit reminds us to be vigilant against economic risks, coupled with the United States5Monthly consumer confidence plummeted to a six month low, influenced by multiple bearish factors, with strong bearish positions and a fluctuating downward view on oil prices; This week we will focus on the final settlement of the US debt ceiling problem.

　　原油上周小阴线回落收低，上周五周线收官，先反弹确认71.70The front line was obstructed, and the final decline still recovered to a low level. The daily trend did not show a downward trend or rebound, and continued to be in the shadow of a confirmed downward trend. The short-term direction is focused on previous lows. It remains to be confirmed whether to build momentum to break through the low after rebounding, or to make a double bottom rebound after supplementing the shadow line.4After exploring the high and falling trend of the hour chart, the market closed short under the medium track. At the beginning of this week, it relied on the medium track as a defensive short. The low point before the hour chart71.50-71.70转换成阻力，上周尾盘反抽确认顶底转换点的阻力依旧承压，尾盘收回低位。周初看弱势延续。综合来看，今日短线操作思路郭晟鑫建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注71-71.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below68.5-68一线支撑。行情实时变化，　　

     This article is written by Guo ShengxinVX:gsx2567For reference only, I am reading online and analyzing in real-time every day. Due to network issues, the article can only provide you with temporary directions and ideas. As for the specific operations in the later stage, they will be provided in real-time in the group disk.