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Song Yiyang:3.15黄金高位震荡修复,原油或将触底反弹

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goldTrend Analysis

  首先,目前已经周三,再次来到周中我们前期强调的周中的转折点点较多,而行情目前再次处于涨幅高位的停滞阶段,行情除了涨跌震荡之外,很少有其他的走势结构,相对而言涨势停滞那么就意味着下跌的到来,短期留意盘中是否有效转折。其次,连续的涨幅之后形成的高位承压具备一定的滞涨作用,而昨日高位出现连续性阴线较多的收线情况,针对小时线而言,一旦在滞涨的环境下阴线增多,后市都有较大的预期回落。

  结构方面,涨幅结构情况下若想出现较大的回撤,必须有效的破位,所以当下走势破位很关键,而下方空间较大。其次滞涨过后依旧未能有效上行延续,短期依旧有下行的预期可能,故而周三盘中是关键,决定后市两个交易日的波幅方向。日内整体上先看高位震荡徘徊,其次是关注涨幅的延续情况,上行不能有效破位,那么后市关注下跌回踩的深度,昨日两次触及高点未能有效延续,所以日内欧盘是关键,时间点以欧盘是否有效上行突破为参考点。

  黄金目前在日线上连续拉升触及到前期的压力带附近之后走出一波回落,4小时级别走势上目前暂时维持在高位的窄幅区间震荡中,短周期均线由前期的向上发散逐步转为放平前期上涨的走势开始逐步放缓,价格在触及到前期1894-5一带的支撑带之后尾盘反弹的力度和延续度都不算特别大,在短期走势上可能还有继续调整的空间。总的来说,日内操作思路上宋奕洋建议黄金关注高位震荡整理,不能有效上行,高位短空看回落,若下行破位则持仓持续性看回落对待!

Operational strategy:

  1.建议黄金1895一线参与多,止损1890, Objective1905-10-15Nearby; proposal1916一线参与空,止损1921, Objective1895-93Nearby;

  【crude oilTrend Analysis

  原油在上个交易日走出一波大幅下跌之后在日线上继续运行在宽幅的区间震荡中,4小时级别走势上目前走出一波探底反弹之后下跌趋势有所放缓,小时级别走势上走出连续的寸头上行反弹在短线走势上可能还有一定的空间但是可能并不会太大,原油在整体走势上依旧偏弱一些。

Operation suggestions:72.8-9Near empty, stop loss73.6, Objective71.8-71.

Author/Song Yiyang

(Note: The above article was written by the team of Song Yiyang. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and delays in online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)

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