Song Yiyang:2.19Will gold rise next week? Operation suggestions for exclusive analysis of crude oil

　　gold下周行情趋势分析：

Analysis of Gold News: Friday（2month17日）美市盘初，现货黄金报价1827dollar/盎司附近，在月初美国1After strong non farm data for the month, the United States released this week1monthCPIData, retail sales data, andPPIThe data has shown strong performance, continuously strengthening the expectations of the Federal Reserve's further interest rate hikes and maintaining high interest rates for a longer period of time in the future. The expectation of a rate cut within the year has disappeared, and Federal Reserve officials have also made hawkish speeches. The US dollar and US bond yields have continuously set new highs in nearly six weeks, and the morale of bullish bullish bullish bullion gold has been very depressed. The technical bearish signal continues, and the market is facing a downward trend in the future1800关口附近支撑的风险。分析师指出，美国利率和债券收益率的上升增加了持有非孳息黄金的机会成本。分析师说：“通胀似乎正在放缓，但速度太慢了--有可能利率将不得不在更长时间内保持较高的水平，这对黄金来说不是一个积极的情况。”市场分析师说，“强劲的PPI数据和克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特的鹰派讲话进一步提高了利率预期，这是美元上行的关键。”

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金日线级别：昨日收报一根阳十字K，而压制5均线一路震荡慢跌的格局还是不变，阴线破位后，紧跟着就是阳十字，然后再收阴，阴阳切换很有规律；自周三大阴失守通道下轨关键支撑1842-43后，整体就打开了进一步下调空间；周线同样当前大阴失守1850，下一个将试探的则是半年线和66日均线的重合点1810一线；而日线失守66日支撑后，下一个能见到的是年线1800And segmentation support1788，这几个位置预计都会逐步试探，但由于短周期macd的背离状态一直在，所以它是震荡式的慢跌下行，而非一口气极弱大阴打到底；一般遇到此类走法，后市即便出现反弹，首次遇10均线、中轨等都会有不错的二次、三次下跌，当前就继续保持5均线下不断走弱看待；

Gold4小时级别：它的macdThe bottom deviation is obvious, but the repair time varies, and the squeezing time of the deviation also varies. This time, it will obviously be a long process; Although deviating, one cannot immediately look for a reversal, and at the same time, one cannot blindly pursue a decline after refreshing a low;10The moving average and mid range track are still the best positions for multiple ambushes and bearish positions in the short term. If there is a large rebound in oversold, the limit is to touch below66日均线依旧会打压下去，保持继续反弹看跌为主；

　　黄金小时线级别：隔夜压制1845，且顶部出现受压形态，原本计划反抽通道反压（下移1842）再继续看跌，但无奈价格直接走了连跌，丝毫不给反抽机会； 根据通道下轨指引，首要支撑在1817-18On the front line, there are certain signs of rebound here, and whether there can be expansion and correction depends on whether we can stand on it10The moving average is the only way to have a chance to touch the middle track1831-32and66Daily moving average1838-37，也是继续顺势看跌的两个参考点；然后结合黄金分割一画，和50、618分割位置基本靠近，形成了一定共振；一旦承压10Day or66日，还会反复试探日内低点，然后二次下不去，下周一就会发生类似昨晚的走法，日线也就继续阴阳循环，这是一环扣一环的市场布局；综合来看，黄金下周短线操作思路上宋奕洋建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1845-1850Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1823-1818Frontline support.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

The US crude oil market opened yesterday at78.5的位置后行情先拉升，日线最高触及到了79.53的位置后行情冲高回落，日线最低给到了77.92After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at77.96的位置后行情以一根上影线很长的倒锤头形态收线，而这样的形态收尾后，日线搓揉整理信号，今日的行情先高空，点位上，今日78.6Empty stop loss79.1Look at the target below77.9, break down and see77.2and76.5。

Author/Song Yiyang

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Song Yiyang explains a set online,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.