指南金师：今日黄金走势分析，金价扩大反弹维持震荡走势

Good tea is not afraid of fine taste, good deeds are not afraid of detailed discussion. Live fish will swim upstream, while dead fish will drift with the current. In the face of the market, it is the same. A hundred empty words are better than one action, precise strategy, than one execution. The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion. A person who doesn't know where to go, facing in any direction, is in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be in the opposite direction! Fate does not refuse, fate does not stay, and meeting and becoming friends in the vast sea of people is also a kind of fate. Buddha has a destiny, I have a heart! Guide Jinshi looks forward to becoming friends with you! The guide financier is willing to be your guide on the investment path, and even more willing to be your close friend! Strength building classic, success is not accidental


Market Review:


InternationalgoldWednesday(2month8day)Maintain a volatile trend, opening price1879.28dollar/Ounces, highest price1886.16dollar/Ounces, lowest price1864.76dollar/Ounces, closing price1873.71dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


　　美联储理事沃勒表示，通胀持续上升的压力部分来自于非常紧张的劳动力市场。遏制通胀的工作“尚未完成”，可能是一场“长期斗争”。利率维持在高位的时间可能比目前一些人预期的要长。最近的通胀趋势令人鼓舞，但还需要对通胀正在持续下降抱有信心。需要看到通胀继续放缓，然后才会改变看法。


　　美联储官员卡什卡利表示，预计联邦基金利率将在今年某个时候超过5%。将在很长一段时间保持利率不变，然后决定利率是上升还是下降。大多数同事都预计利率将升至5%以上，当然有可能会更高。要采取更多措施，但还不清楚要采取多少措施。关于通胀，目前没有太多证据表明加息对劳动力市场有多大影响。经济中的服务业(inflation)仍然很火热。


　　美联储官员威廉姆斯称，终端利率在5-5.25%是合理的。需要在几年内维持限制性利率。加息25个基点似乎是目前的最佳选择，但视情况而定。


The world's largest goldETF--SPDR Gold TrustIncrease in position compared to the previous day0.28Tons, current position is921.1Tons.


According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to4.75%-5.00%The probability of the interval is93.7%Interest rate hike50Bps to5.00%-5.25%The probability of the interval is6.3%； reach5The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is0.0%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is27.7%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is67.9%Accumulated interest rate increase75Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is4.4%。


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00Germany1monthCPIInitial monthly rate


　　17:45英国央行行长贝利作证词陈述


　　21:30From the United States to2month4Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨天如期走了冲高回落，符合预期，价格冲高四小时的上线压制回防到小时图的下线，短期来看反弹三小阳，今天比较关键，如果打不开中阳来后市还得下探去破底，昨日黄金上涨最高1886附近回落，最低到1868Region, closing1872附近，那么今日行情就是依然震荡寻求方向，很显然破位昨日高低位选择方向顺势进场即可。本周非农以后美元上涨70点，但是黄金自1860反弹没有破位1860区域，这就是说经过连续大跌，黄金抗跌明显，而且连续跌三天以后，市场已经消化非农预期走势，现在行情需要一个新的消息去指引，昨日黄金突破1884，但是收盘依然没有企稳，说明现在震荡修复行情依然存在，没有破位1860区域多头依然继续反弹考验压力。


　　从小时图上，黄金虽然对1885有刺破，但还处在预期的横盘区间内运行，整体技术结构依然还是具备下跌中继整理状态的，只不过随着时间的推移，短线行情结构重心有所抬升，加之美指调整需求可能也给黄金带来短线看涨动能，所以日内黄金才略显偏强，但是实际上涨动能有很有限，因为市场基本已经意识到黄金的中线下跌并未释放完，后期还有调整空间，故目前的反弹，包括未来可能有的反弹，都可以视作为空头回补动作，而非多头就此能展开回升趋势。操作上，黄金主思路还是以待反弹后进行空单布局为主，目前虽然偏强，但上涨动能很有限，尽可能的不去盲目追多，但短线空单的参与也要因为日内的偏强略作调整。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1886-1890Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1865-1868Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.9Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1883-1885Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1875-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1860-1862Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1870-1875Nearby, break down and take a look1880frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above