Fang Yuan said Jin:10.31Gold rebounds empty, crude oil adjusts high!

goldMarket trend analysis:


   Monday(10month31Day,)，国际金价继续承压，受美联储激进加息前景影响。谨慎的投资者关注美联储即将召开的政策会议，以寻求其未来政策立场指引。高盛经济学家上调明年一季度末联邦基金利率预期。


   美联储从3月份以来已累计加息300个基点。人们普遍预计美联储将在11month1-2日的政策会议上连续第四次加息75个基点。虽然黄金传统上被视为通胀对冲工具，但美联储加息增加了非孳息资产黄金的持有成本。



　黄金近期直接从1617低点强势突破1650Pass to1670高位，下方1615形成双底回升态势。可惜涨势也未能延续，最高冲击1675受阻，随后多次冲击1670关口也未能有效突破，从而上周尾空头向下承压，一举跌破1660Pass to1638关键支撑。而1638位置则是近期回踩低点，目前再次下探就非常关键了，若是得以坚守那么有望形成头肩底形态。加之日线底部大阳拉升，有启明星吞没形态，代表1615附近具有大量买盘支撑，1615预期是阶段性底部，并且中线有望形成W双底形态，就差后续的上涨成型了。虽然周、月线都是偏空势头，但日线双底还是有望带动反弹势头，MA5—MA10均线还是维持金叉之势。从走势结构上后市还是偏向多头上涨的，只是当前局势跌破1640开始偏空，也刷新了1638New low to1635位置，下行风险有所加剧。晚间重点还是1640关口，下方则关注1630关口支撑，操作上反弹看空顺势而为。


Operation suggestions:1640-42Near empty, stop loss1646, Objective1630-1620.Real time market in session guidance.


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crude oilMarket trend analysis;



   原油近期多头反弹上行喜人，目前在高位已经出现了三波回落走势。局部同向出现了一波反弹上行的走势，多头即此机遇将会继续冲击前高。晚间原油操作建议86.25Buy, risk control85.75, Objective88.30~88.70，上破则继续持有。