Fang Yuan said Jin:10.25Gold maintains horizontal consolidation, while crude oil falls into short-term volatility

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goldTrend analysis:


   The latest data released by the United States shows that,10monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIInitial value drops to49.9, falling below the boom bust line, refreshing28Month low point. This data is lower than9Of the month52, also lower than expected51. Meanwhile, the service industryPMIAlso weaker than expected, from9Of the month49.3Further fall into the contraction range46.6. Economists previously predicted thatPMIby49.6Left and right. Although gold prices have successfully attracted some safe haven buying momentum1650There seems to be some sticky resistance around the US dollar, keeping gold prices near this level. After the data was released, spot gold briefly rose by about9USD, returning1650Above the US dollar, but soon fell back to trading below this level.


   From a daily structure perspective, yesterday's gold rose and fell, and the pressure was measured to20After moving above the daily line, retract to5、10Near the daily chart, such a trend indicates that the current market still does not have the conditions for a strong upward trend, and Friday's pull was more influenced by sudden news. The market has already digested this, and the short-term market fundamentals focus may gradually shift towards next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision over time. At present, it is difficult for gold to have a significant rebound in the daily structure, but under the influence of last Friday's bullish trend, there may not be too much decline. The expected intraday market is likely to be dominated by volatile digestion, with attention paid below5Daily line1643/42Nearby support testing, with a focus on the top20Daily line1668Under pressure, it is highly likely that the market will operate within this range. If it breaks through, adjustments will be made during the trading session based on specific circumstances.


   From the daily chart, let's take a look below now1640Whether the support is effective, and1670Only by breaking through can we further increase. From the four hour line, we can see that1670If it does not break through the high point, it will continue to fluctuate. The hourly line and Bollinger track will narrow in parallel, and the direction will be determined by the interval breakthrough. Therefore, the daily operation strategy will first look at the interval oscillation,1670-1640-1610。



Golden Strategy:

　　1，1660Near empty, stop loss6USD, target1645-40

　　2，1642Nearby, stop loss6USD, target1655-60



crude oilMarket trend analysis:


   On the technical side, crude oil was mainly volatile yesterday, with a long downward trend and a small negative closing on the daily chart,MACD 0The adhesive operation near the axis has not yet come out of consolidation as a whole;60Multiple moving averages are glued together in the minute chart,MACD 0Golden fork above the shaft(Red column contraction)Overall, the current bullish and bearish factors of crude oil remain anxious, with weakened demand expectations and a strengthening US dollar suppressing the rebound space of crude oil; But the contraction of the supply side also provides some support for crude oil; It is expected that it will still be difficult to break out of consolidation in the short term; But be wary of rapid and significant fluctuations in the market;


Today's operational suggestion: Short term approach, deal with high selling and low buying;

Pressure attention86--86.3; Follow Above86.8--87.2；88.3Nearby;

Supporting attention83.2--82.7；82--81.7(Pre market forecast for reference only, detailed in market communication)




   ——How should beginners correctly invest in gold, crude oil, and silver?

1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.

2Starting with small-scale trading - For beginners in the market, it is necessary to start with small-scale trading, gradually grasp trading patterns and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.

3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities, and bear heavier risks based on the opposite market trend and personal wishes.

4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.

5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.

6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial.


The above are all sincere suggestions from Fang Yuan. If you are currently losing money, consolidate and consolidate the above knowledge points, and don't just be discouraged. The mentality on the road of investment is very important, failure is not scary, what's scary is that you are not willing to summarize. If you always remain unchanged on the road of investment, then you are the true failure! No matter what state you are in now, Fang Yuan hopes that these words can bring you some help! I am Fang Yuan, an analyst who works with you in the same boat. I am precise in my orders, ruthless in my stops, and stable in my profits without any restrictions!


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  This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan provides online solutions, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat. The above content belongs to personal suggestions. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only, at your own risk. Real time ideas are provided at current prices. Please indicate the source when reprinting.