Dingsheng Jinshi:8.15Today's Gold Trend Analysis: "Terrorist Data Attacks" Gold Price...

——goldAnalysis——


Monday（8month15At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1796Around the US dollar, although most of last week1800The checkpoint has suppressed the price of gold, but the one-year inflation expectation in the United States has decreased6At a month low, US import prices have dropped for the first time in seven months, and investors are concerned about the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate increase75The expected decline of basis points has led to a decline in US bond yields last Friday, helping gold prices eventually rise to1800Near the checkpoint, from a technical perspective, there is still short-term upward momentum, and gold prices are likely to break through this week1800Gate resistance.


Fundamentally speaking, this week will usher in the United States7Monthly retail sales rate, commonly known as "horror data", currently expected by the market in the United States7The monthly retail sales rate will vary from6Month on month growth1%Decline to month on month increase0.1%It may exacerbate market concerns about economic recession and provide further upward momentum for gold prices. In addition, data shows that net long bets on the US dollar have decreased in the past week. The survey shows that although analysts' bullish and bearish ratios remain the same, the bullish ratio has nearly doubled compared to the previous week.


In terms of gold, the recent trend of gold has been quite tempting. Since its rise last Monday, gold has been testing upwards and has emphasized the focus on the daily line60Daily moving average1795Suppressed, but the trend has always been a tentative break, followed by a rebound and oscillation, but not a surge or fall, as a rebound does not break through1784Point position, so it's just a trend of high volatility. Last Friday, the market was relatively strong, with a slow rise and a direct upward trend1795Above, closing at1800Above, there is a physical positive column on the daily line, forming a break trend. According to last week's thinking, there has been an upward break signal, so gold will pay attention to it at the beginning of this week1795Support bullish, while the target point above looks1830. In the early morning trading, gold fell from its high point and fell slowly in the short term4The trend of the hourly cycle is relatively weak, but we still need to approach it with a break point approach and pay attention to it1795Support, wait for confirmation to be bullish, but if the short-term falls below1795So, with the trend, bearish1784For the time being, we will continue to maintain high range fluctuations. Summary: Recently, the overall trend of gold has been relatively strong, but the short-term decline is also very obvious, so there is no conflict between bullish and bearish positions during the day. The only thing to note is that it is important to quickly move in and out. After placing the operating point on the European market today, if Asia and Europe fall below1795So follow the trend and chase the sky, look below1784If, after the opening of the European market, it has not yet fallen below1795So, with this support, boldly bullish and flexibly respond.


　　8.15crude oilTechnical analysis:


Preliminary support below crude oil5Daily moving average92.13Nearby, the previous downward trend line is also near this position. If the oil price drops below this position, it weakens the short-term bullish signal; Further support on90Near the checkpoint, strong support continues to be referenced2month18Daily low point87.46Frontline. Oil prices strive to stabilize on the hourly chart93.6Above the US dollar, if it breaks through in the short term95.04USD, expected to be touched up96.00-96.57USD range; On the contrary, oil prices are expected to be measured downwards92.20USD and further sliding towards91.25-91USD range. In terms of crude oil operation strategy, it is recommended to mainly step back and lower, supplemented by rebounding high, with a focus on short-term attention above94.2-94.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below90.5-90.0Frontline support.


　　8.15Suggestions for crude oil operation:


Crude oil fell for the first time in the early trading session91Going long nearby, considering the first short order94.2-4frontline.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!