Analysis of the latest trend of spot gold international crude oil Operation suggestions

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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!

There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Last Friday(8month12day)In late US trading, spot gold closed higher1802.06dollar/Ounces, up12.71USD or0.71%The highest daily hit1802.41dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1784.76dollar/Ounces. US Treasury yields have fallen after a tumultuous week as investors assess whether a significant slowdown in inflation will slow down the pace of Fed rate hikes. Data released earlier last week showed that inflation in the United States has cooled, and market participants have subsequently lowered their expectations for a significant interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. However, recent comments from Federal Reserve officials continue to be hawkish, which has suppressed the rise in gold prices. Although there was no breakthrough increase in gold prices after the inflation data cooled down, the price of gold continued to rise last Friday(8month12day)Still closing higher for the fourth consecutive week. However, there are still differences on Wall Street regarding the trend of gold prices next week. The slowdown in inflation was the main message conveyed by macro data last week. However, Federal Reserve officials continue to oppose the idea of a possible shift in monetary policy. Analysts say that as the US dollar rebounds, it may weigh on gold prices this week. Focus on the United States this week7Monthly retail sales rate,9The monthly interest rate hike is due to22Number.

Technical analysis of gold: Based on the trend of the gold market, the weekly trend has rebounded continuously for four weeks, but it is still in a weak and volatile trend on the weekly trend, and the price has been hit by continuous rebound1800After the pressure level in the area, there may be a fifth wave of decline. The daily trend has slowed down in a narrow range of fluctuations that continue to be high after a wave of uplift. From the intraday trend last Friday, it can be seen that after a series of sideways trading, the currentH4The level trend is gradually emerging from short-term long divergence, but the continuation may not be too strong.

Gold1680Bottom rebound, currently the highest impact1808The position was hindered and fell back, and the next day did not continue the previous day's decline, but instead touched1783Low point impact again1800The big level, unfortunately, still rises and falls in the end, representing1800There are a large number of short positions suppressed above the major level. In the short term, gold has fallen into a long short battle, but of course, the short-term upward trend has not been broken, but there have been signs of stagflation and correction, after allMA5—MA10The moving average crosses upwards, and the Bollinger belt opens upwards,MACDThe red column can continue to release; The weekly trend is also a three consecutive positive rebound pattern, representing high short-term bullish sentiment. The focus now is on location1800Only by breaking through and stabilizing can we clearly determine the direction for bulls to continue rising, otherwise we will really be under pressure1800The Great Pass has gone through a correction. In fact, Qin Zeran's personal opinion is that it needs to continue to rise, after all, there have been so many shocks1800There has been no significant decline in the major levels, and if we really want to fall, we should have fallen long ago. Now1800Such a clear signal that the top has not yet fallen may be an illusion, attracting more short orders and breaking through in one fell swoop. In summary, Qin Zeran suggested that the gold operation strategy for today should mainly focus on returning to lower levels, supplemented by rebounding to higher levels, with short-term attention from above1810-1815Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1790-1785Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point and timing of settlement, please pay attention to Qin Zeran's firm offer and it will be provided in real time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Last Friday(8month12day)This week, US oil prices fluctuated and rebounded. The downward trend of the US index, the cooling of hawkish interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and concerns about sanctions against Russia have all supported oil prices. However, factors such as the dawn of Iran's nuclear agreement and the spread of the global epidemic have limited the rise of oil prices. Wednesday'sCPIAfter the report was released, it was related to the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest ratefuturesTraders have reduced their focus on9month20-21The Federal Reserve will raise interest rates for the third consecutive time at the Japan Policy Conference75A basis point bet, now considering interest rate hikes50The probability of a basis point is greater. The continued decline of the US dollar has boosted the attractiveness of crude oil, as a weaker US dollar will make crude oil priced in US dollars cheaper for investors holding non US currencies.

The final efforts of European countries to restore Iran's nuclear agreement have finally shown signs of hope, which has put pressure on oil prices. The European Union proposed a recovery plan on Monday2015The "final" text of the Iran nuclear agreement in is awaiting approval by the United States and Iran. A senior EU official stated that a final decision on the proposal is expected to be made "in just a few weeks". Against the backdrop of tight global crude oil market conditions, this is expected to clear the obstacles for Iran to boost supply. Iran can increase its oil exports within six months100Wanzhi15010000 barrels/Days, approximately half of the global supply1.5%. If an agreement is reached, the United States will lift sanctions against Iran, which may inject more than100Ten thousand barrels of crude oil supply. Coupled with the global spread of the epidemic, it is not conducive to oil prices.

Technical analysis of crude oil: The crude oil price basically fluctuated upwards as expected last Friday, reaching its highest point92The US dollar is on the front line, at the daily level. After two consecutive days of rebound, prices have temporarily stagnated and hit the Bollinger medium track. As I have mentioned before, the daily Bollinger medium track position is an important support resistance position for crude oil prices, determining the direction of prices in the future market. To continue rising, the first step is for the price to break through this resistance. If we continue to close at the positive station today95Above, there may be concerns that this round of rebound correction will turn into a new round of short-term bull uptrend; Pay attention to two areas of current resistance94.5and95.5, support93.3and91.4Temporarily pay attention to the operational gains and losses between support and resistance; Currently, before breaking through the resistance of the daily decline channel on the station, we still maintain a rebound correction approach, and this round of rebound is approaching its end. It depends on whether we can suppress it this week to confirm. Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy for crude oil today, Qin Zeran suggested that the main approach should be to step back and lower, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with a focus on short-term operations above94.0-94.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below90.0-89.5Frontline support.

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This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.