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Dingsheng Jinshi:7.13今日黄金走势分析,三大央行欲加息,金价...

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  美联储加息前景和强势美元继续打压金价,新西兰联储和韩国央行加息50个基点,加拿大央行晚间也将加息50个基点,也令金价承压,而且美元还吸引了大量的避险资金,市场预计晚间的美国6monthCPI将再创新高,有望强化美联储激进加息的预期,这令金价面临进一步下探风险。不过,过去几次美国CPI数据出炉后,金价短线倾向于小幅下探,随后便快速拉升,投资者需要提防类似行情的发生。


  技术面看,黄金日线呈下降趋势运行,目前价格在低位止跌震荡,但中期走势仍然看下行;小时图下降趋势运行,目前价格处于低位横盘震荡,但整体还是偏弱势运行,预计短期继续维持震荡的概率比较高。


  欧美盘操作建议,黄金在1732-1735Short nearby, stop loss1740, Objective1720-1700


  crude oilMessage surface parsing:


Wednesday(7month13日)亚洲时段,油价轻微反弹,现报95.7dollar/桶,早间一度下跌至93.72dollar/Bucket, for4month12日以来最低;稍早API数据显示,上周美国原油和成品油库存增加,油价还受累于美元走强,以及OPECforecast2023年石油需求增长将放缓。日内重点公布月度原油市场报告、美国6monthCPIdataEIA数据。总体来看,美元持续走强,经济衰退担忧以及库存增加,OPEC预计需求放缓,多重利空助力油价下破95dollar/桶,日内将公布EIA数据,若进一步显示库存增加,油价或下探90关口,此外,日内交易关注EIAMonthly report.


  7.13Analysis of crude oil market trend:


  原油昨日持续下跌,欧美盘时段下跌幅度放大,尾盘受API数据意外大增影响,行情再度出现一波较大幅度下跌,低点跌至93.6一线,日线收得一实体饱和大阴线。从原油日线结构来看,近期走势虽然波动幅度较大,但多空转换极为频繁,且可参考的因素又很不明确,这其间的主要原因还是受市场情绪的影响,这给操作上也带来极大的难度。技术上,虽然当前美油再度回撤至此前预期的中期支撑区域95-93之间,尤其是目前低点落在200日线附近,技术上可能会提供一定的回弹动能,但考虑到近期原油多空转换频繁状态,短线操作上还是莫要盲目看单边。


  四小时线油价处于MA5下方呈震荡下行,小时线,今早延续下跌破低,目前最低到达93.6,早间的下跌能否延续重点持欧盘能否继续破低,若不破低则震荡修复,今早快速下跌后反弹已反弹至96,周二大跌,周三是极弱环境,日内关注技术面点位99.7压制,亚欧盘不破,可顺势空一波,美盘之前破位,则需转势看回落多。综上所述鼎盛金师总结:原油今日操作思路上建议以回调做多为主,上方短期关注99.7-99.9Frontline resistance, short-term focus below95.1-93.6Frontline support.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!

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