Guo Shengshan:6.27黄金持续震荡如何操作？原油走势分析

　　goldLatest market analysis:

　　黄金消息面解析：上周五美国公布的密歇根消费信心指数从14年高点滑落，可能会降低美联储激进加息的紧迫性。这一数据也令黄金止住了日内的跌势，再次冲击1830关口，但周线收盘依旧受压在1830下方。但从长期来看，金价下方空间也不大，或还有上涨空间。通胀见顶和经济增长放缓的迹象正在市场上重燃风险偏好情绪。与此同时，人们希望美联储可能不需要像此前认为的那样大幅收紧货币政策。但对于黄金而言，随着金价逼近1800美元的关键关口，这种情况导致了更多的横盘交易。投资者注意到了日常宏观数据中出现的衰退迹象，他们将对通胀的担忧转向了对经济增长放缓的担忧。这改变了美联储的极端鹰派预期。

Technical analysis of gold: Gold rebounded last week and underwent pressure testing, which confirmed the current weak state of the market. Today, we will pay attention to it first1820Competition, but as time passes, the probability of this position falling will also increase. Once it falls, you can pay more attention below1812-10Competition, even under the influence of extreme emotions, the market may retreat to1805-00The possibility of finding support in the area. Stay tuned above in the evening1830-33Short term pressure band, if the market wants to reverse today, stand up1830The above is a technical requirement, but even if one stands firm1830Above, there may not be strong rebound momentum in the short term, as the current fundamentals are relatively light, and the impact on the US dollar trend in the short term should be particularly concerned.

Although gold is today1822The position has gained support and rebounded, but the rebound strength is insufficient, which is different from the previous strong rebound. It also indicates that the bull strength is starting to decline, and the decline is about to start. Once the level breaks, the market will directly fall to1815even to the extent that1800位置。黄金震荡调整后再次选择方向，现在行情波动虽然不大，但已经是暴风雨前的宁静，风暴即将袭来，继续持空，等待行情破位下行！综上所述郭晟衫总结：黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注1840-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1815Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

Crude oil fluctuated sideways last Friday, with a slight rebound in the European session. Currently, we are retesting106.5Nearby, but in the hourly chart structure, the short-term market is still within the triangular fluctuation range, and it is expected that106.5-107压制作用还是有的，但持续横盘后的行情也存在很大的变数风险。短期美油暂持看承压调整预期，但是期待不宜过大，且务必要防范行情异动的风险，下方关注103Nearby support testing, if the market falls back103.5下方，则短期内美油还有可能进行空间回修，下方或挑战本周低点。但目前美油也具备超跌反弹条件，陈亦博认为如果行情站稳107Above, then retest it110-111一带也是允许的。原油日线图滞涨回落，目前价格沿BOLLRunning down the track,KDThe indicator operates in the oversold area and is expected to have a high probability of rising and falling in the medium term; The hourly chart shows a low volatility situation, and the current price is still fluctuating and narrowing at a low level,KD指标金叉向上运行，预计短期震荡走高的概率比较高。综上所述总结：原油今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议以区间震荡为主，上方短期关注109.0-110.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below104.0-103.0Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.