Guide Metallographer:6.24今日黄金走势分析，黄金震荡压制还有新低

  　　　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　周四黄金走势可谓一波三折，金价亚欧盘承压，欧盘盘中跌至1823美元，在此前本周低点1822美元附近企稳反弹，这里是我们当天文章给出的看涨支撑位，美盘开盘后金价涨至1845美元遇阻下跌，这里是我们当天给出的看空压力位1843美元附近，金价下跌再次回到本周低点位置，此后短线波动在1821USD to1828美元之间展开横盘震荡，并在日内企稳反弹。

　　展望后市，指南金师认为，一方面，美联储收紧货币政策以抗击通胀，同时全球主要央行也在强化加息预期，这对金价构成压力，另一方面，通胀居高不下，地缘局势持续紧张，经济衰退担忧挥之不去，也为金价提供支撑，这使得最近一个月，黄金价格整体保持宽幅震荡，金价上涨受到压制，同时下跌幅度也受到限制。

　　进入本周，黄金震荡区间出现收窄，短线波动偏向震荡承压，然而跌幅十分有限，这说明空方优势较小，金价随时可能受低位买盘支撑反弹，指南金师预计未来一段时间里，金价可能继续保持宽幅区间震荡，在没有新的消息刺激下，很难跳出这个空间。

　　消息方面，美联储主席鲍威尔周四发表讲话，重申美联储抗击通胀的承诺是无条件的，经济衰退并非无可避免，美联储理事鲍曼讲话表示，支持在7Monthly interest rate hike75个基点，并在之后进行几次50个基点的加息，欧洲央行官员讲话表示，预计将在7Monthly interest rate increase25个基点，在9Monthly interest rate increase50个基点，另外墨西哥央行创纪录加息75个基点，并表示下次会议可能采取同样有力的行动，全球央行开始进入加息浪潮，这对金价不利。

　　数据方面，美国企业活动6月出现下降，Markit制造业与服务业PMI初值双双下降，高通胀降低了服务业需求，并导致工厂订单与生产萎缩，欧洲两个最大的经济体，德国与法国经济增长大幅放缓，两国6月制造业与服务业PMI初值急剧下降，数据凸显美国、欧洲所面临的经济衰退风险，这对金价有利。

Technical analysis of gold:

Yesterday's low rebound of gold did not change the volatility, and the daily line followed a downward trend to recover and close positive. The overall operation is still within the range, with no obvious signs of unilateral breakthroughs. In the short term, it will still fall into a repeated tug of war, but temporarily in a downward trend of consolidation and correction. In terms of technical structure, the daily line is still fluctuating and slightly downward, but the short term is circuitous and repetitive.4After a negative drop of hours earlier, the single positive rose rapidly yesterday, but the closing was still unstable. The next day, there was still a slight rebound in the opening and a return to the east1836Oscillating operation below, rebound not closing high, lack of continuity, combined withKThe line structure and back and forth sawing are the main style, not the beginning of unilateral direction. In the short term, it may continue to maintain this wide range of oscillation sawing, with operations mainly focused on ultra short lines. The interval checkpoint is crucial. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the gold industry should focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback from low altitudes, with a focus on the above1848-1853Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1815-1820Frontline support.

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