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Guide Metallographer:5.31今日黄金逐步缓慢下探,加息预期高烧不退

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  goldMessage surface:

  近期,美国公布的数据显示,美国4月消费者支出增幅超过预期,主要是家庭增加商品和服务购买,使得通胀增速出现放缓。不过就在昨日,美联储理事沃勒表示,美联储应该准备好在从现在开始的每次会议上均加息50个基点,直到通胀牢牢受控。沃勒还表示,强劲的劳动力市场能够在失业率不大幅攀升的情况下应对加息。由此可见,目前美联储部分官员针对货币收紧还是比较偏鹰。今日晚间,需要重点关注美国总统拜登会晤美联储主席鲍威尔,关于讨论美国和全球经济情势,预计有较大概率对黄金产生影响。

  同时,目前乌克兰军队和俄罗斯军队在北顿涅斯克郊区交战。这是基辅在卢甘斯克省控制的最后一座城市,也是莫斯科在乌东部发动进攻的焦点。俄罗斯的炮击已将北顿涅斯克的大部分地区夷为平地,但乌克兰的防御减缓了俄在整个顿巴斯地区更大范围的行动。卢甘斯克省长表示,俄军已进入北顿涅斯克东南部和东北部边缘。乌克兰总统泽连斯基也不断呼吁,希望乌克兰的盟友能够提供所需的武器。俄乌冲突的不确定再次增加避险买盘,为黄金提供短暂的支撑。

Gold trend analysis:

  昨日金价整体还是维持冲高回落压制震荡格局,亚欧盘小幅回踩下探并企稳1848一线快速回升,午后一度强势拉升重回1860上方延续反弹,临近欧美盘价格冲高承压1863关口再度出现快速回落晚间二次反抽最终承压1860关口进一步震荡收阴,日k线报收压制震荡中阴,整体价格连续冲高受阻1863关口出现回落震荡,短期技术面还有进一步回落下行预期,今日下方有望再度测试前期4Hour Double Bottom1840关口支撑企稳力度,上方短线压力1855-1857区域,强阻在昨日美盘二次反抽高点1860一线,今日收盘未站上1860关口之前任何反抽均可顺势做空继续下看回落,多单只有在测试1840关口支撑有效后可以参与,月线收官谨慎逆势操作,日线级别未强势突破并站稳1860关口之前依旧压制偏空运行。

  黄金从当下来看,四小时的震荡行情没变,上方阻力震荡向下,下方支撑震荡向上,目前价格运行于一线下方,能量空头主导,但是价格又靠近了小时图的下线,所以对于这种格局,反弹入场即可,日内短线关注1840Low point, long-term attack not too high, rebound not sustained, reverse downward break1840则会走弱,此位是短期临界点,下破看空,不破继续震荡。亚盘低开低走有走弱迹象,但形态上还是最好等破位之后。以免拉锯震荡。综合来看,今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议以回踩做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注1863-1868Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840Frontline support.

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