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Guide Metallographer:5.12今日黄金走势下跌乏力,当心多头随时反扑!

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  goldTechnical analysis:

  从黄金日线图看,黄金日内如预期先借助1850一线有所回弹,但上方仅回弹至1865一线,从日内的回弹空间来看,短线多头信心还是非常弱的,其动能不足以改变昨日阴线带来的负面影响,而目前的低位震荡状态又存在一定的选择性,即经过白盘震荡后,短线行情进一步下跌情绪也有所缓和,再结合目前美指持续居高,随时可能进行技术性回修的预期,黄金短期内还是注意行情可能出现的异动风险的,即黄金自身技术结构上有需要再进行一波回修调整,甚至可能跌破1835, retreat1830-25找支撑的可能性。所以,这里我不排除黄金还会继续刷新低点,从日线来看,目前到1830的概率很大,日线斐波那契19.1%的支撑位置正好在1830Here.

  现在黄金跌破1840大关,从反弹力度来看很弱,日线MA10始终压制金价的反弹,所以不破日线MA10位置,空头思路就不变,上破我们再调整思路就好,目前是黄金的单边下跌,预计低点是月线的支撑位置在1830-1825区域,到达次区域的时候我们就不要追空了,或许会有一个技术面的反弹修复,届时还可以短多一下。所以,这里我觉得1830这里可以作为抄底的位置,但是估计不会在今晚,大概率在明天亚盘时段。如果说一旦,在1830这里开始来反弹,我觉得大概率会很强势,而且很有可能下半周会直接到1880-1890去,直接到破本周开盘高点位置。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作上指南金师建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方关注1850-1855Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1825-1830美元一线支撑;

Golden Operation Strategy:

Rebound1850-1848Short on the first line, stop loss1858, Objective1835frontline;

  crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(5month12During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting105.65dollar/桶;油价周三大涨超6%,此前俄罗斯输往欧洲的天然气减少,且俄罗斯宣布制裁一些欧洲天然气企业,增加了全球能源市场的不确定性。分析师表示:“油价将继续上涨,特别是如果欧盟达成协议,在今年剩余时间内逐步停止购买俄罗斯石油的话”。市场分析师表示,“考虑到从战略石油储备向商业库存的大量转移,很难想象原油库存不会增加,市场将不得不适应如此大规模的转移。”此前俄罗斯输往欧洲的天然气减少,且俄罗斯宣布制裁一些欧洲天然气企业,增加了全球能源市场的不确定性。美国能源信息署(EIA)周三公布的数据显示,上周美国商业原油库存意外猛增850万桶,因战略石油储备创纪录释出,但汽油库存下降360万桶。馏分油库存也下降。总体来看,俄罗斯输往欧洲的天然气减少,且俄罗斯制裁多家外国能源公司,对供应担忧急剧上升,地缘局势将短线或继续助力油价走高,日内重点聚焦OPECMonthly reports andIEA月报,两大月报影响下,油价波动或较大。

From a technical perspective, crude oil rebounded and closed higher yesterday, recovering from the previous day's decline and losing ground. At the same time, it reached a high point and emerged in a small cycleVType reversal, strong recovery104.10After the high point, the weak downward pattern was broken. Bounce highest touch106.40.Returning to the high range and sawing. Accompanied by a wide base saw. The daily high sun rises and swallows up the small yinKThe short-term and short-term fluctuations have returned to the range, and the continuity of the two yin and one yang is insufficient. It has not yet left the unilateral trend.4小时图一波低位连阳收复近半失地。下跌快收复也快,拉锯震荡的节奏。多空反转快,要关键临界点的得失。一旦失守强弱临界点,就会改变即定的节奏。日线布林道继续收口当中。短期还将维持宽幅区间内震荡。既然是震荡。把握好区间高抛低吸。点位为前,趋势为后。综合来看,今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方短期重点关注107.5-108Frontline resistance, short-term focus below99.5-100Frontline support.

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