4.29The US dollar is unbeatable at a high altitude, and the short term decline is inevitable. Can gold bulls counterattack in a desperate manner

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Friday(4month29day)In the Asian market, the financial market suddenly experienced severe fluctuations. The US dollar index is rapidly declining in the short term, further moving away from it20Annual high. Spot goodsgoldSignificant increase, gold price has just broken through1910dollar/Ounces, with a daily increase exceeding15US dollars. The market expects that the Federal Reserve will take quite proactive actions to control inflation, which has lowered the price of gold. The prospect of further interest rate hikes in the United States has increased the attractiveness of the US dollar relative to unprofitable physical assets such as gold.

Due to the Federal Reserve's preparation to raise interest rates, inflation expectations in the United StatesPCEThe price index has hit a historic high, and it is expected that gold prices will continue to be under pressure.29It can be observed during the daily trading that gold prices are facing difficult challenges1900The US dollar breaks through the threshold, while maintaining stability and preparing to rise again. This also shows that the international market gold price has fallen to a two month low set the previous day, as the US dollar is approaching5Maintaining a stable high point throughout the year has suppressed demand for gold denominated in US dollars.

Investors expect interest rate hikes50The individual basis points will drive the US dollar index up, with the US dollar index at2017The high level of the year puts pressure on precious metals. Investors have also been preparing for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates more aggressively this year to lower inflation. The Federal Reserve may be5Raising interest rates at monthly and subsequent policy meetings50Basis points.

Analysis of Gold Market Trends and Operational Suggestions

From day to daykLooking up, prices are all based on5The daily moving average continues to decline, and yesterday it also collected a bottom pattern of a single positive shadow. From the perspective of the moving average, the price10Japanese adhesive20The daily moving average crosses, and the price aspect has continued before5The daily moving average continued, and after a bottom rebound, the price also broke through the level5The position of the daily moving average is currently hovering overall10Near the daily moving average, above10The prices near the daily moving average are1925From the principle of the Bollinger Bands, the price three lines show an overall open range, but the price also runs near the lower track of the Bollinger Bands. From the perspective of technical indicatorsMACDThe overall range is still biased towards a downward trend, starting fromKDJFrom a morphological perspective, there are signs of an upward turn in the price of the third line, so from a daily perspective, it is a bearish trend and a rebound in the short term.4Looking at the hourly chart, the relative strength index(RSI)Attempting to remove20.00-40.00Interval transfer to40.00-60.00Interval, this may be a signal of short-term reversal. However, as long as the gold price cannot break through50Periodic index moving average(EMA)1925So gold bears are still supported. Overall, tonight's gold trading guide believes that there is still an opportunity to short if there is a rebound.

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound:1918-1920Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1910-1900Nearby, break down and take a look1895-90frontline

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1890-1893Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1895-1900Nearby, break down and take a look1905-1910frontline

　　crude oiltechnical analysis

Although crude oil is currently rebounding strongly, the trend direction is still unclear, so it is not yet time to catch up. It is only during the energy crisis that the rebound is dominant. Therefore, it is important to pay attention to the heavy pressure on the first line above104.5The second route105.6On the front line, this is also the point where there were two empty entries, with strong support still below100The watershed, remember: the trend is unclear, the main short-term trend, wait for the trend to become clear and follow the median line

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