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Guide Metallographer:4.27黄金多空如何抉择,未雨绸缪方能取胜

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  不谋全局者不足谋一城,市场风云,变幻莫测,定其心,观其势,谋定而后动, 不乱于心,不困于情。,运筹帷幄之中,方能决胜千里之外。

Message interpretation:

  美元的强势走高并且企稳100After the big level,gold价格呈现了明显的弱态,周一美盘时段更是跌破了1900的重要关口支撑,情况可谓相当不乐观,因为目前美联储加息的力度和次数比预想当中还要激进,在高通胀不断失控的情况下,美联储已经无法保持淡定的态度,这使得黄金的持有信心近期出现急剧下降。

  另美国3monthCPI同比暴涨8.5%, creating1981年以来新高。美联储希望通过快速收紧货币政策,实现抑制通胀的同时避免经济衰退,由此引发美元暴涨,提高了非美元持有人的购金成本,进而抑制金价。美联储一轮大幅度加息发生在1994-95年期间。当时美联储在12个月内累计加息300个基点,其中不止一次直接加息50个基点,甚至还有一次加息75个基点。目前市场无疑在进一步炒作美联储大幅度加息的预期,因此金价近期明显承压。

Gold Technology Analysis:

  黄金周二先震荡反弹,测压至1907The first line is back under pressure and retreats to1895Nearby, there was another wave of upward trend in the European market during the trading period, and the pressure was measured to1910未破,回撤至1905下方区域整理。从日内黄金的走势节奏来看,短线反弹仅仅属于技术性的反弹,并不能带来太多的回升空间,且日内两次反弹均被打压,所以日内走势更多的是对下跌的消化过程,尚不具备反转的条件。

  根据日线以及小时图结构,短线黄金上方还是着重关注60Daily and early trading intensive points1915In the vicinity of stress testing, as long as the market does not return above this level, there are still conditions for further decline overall. Above Period1910-12也有可能成为短线压力,至于反弹至哪一个压力位出现回撤,也会影响到后期再调整回落的级别。下方还是先关注1895-90Belt support testing, as time goes by, once the shock digestion is completed, it is highly likely to break through1890。所以短线操作上杨振金官微:z61518建议主思路还是继续反弹做空为主,下方关键支撑可以尝试短多为辅。

  操作建议如下:

  1.短线黄金空单参与位1910Nearby, stop loss1915Above, look down at the target1905-00区域减仓,剩余持单再看1895-90区域减仓。且可保留部分持单看1885-80Expectations.

  2.下方回撤1895-90区域可以轻仓短多,着重关注1885-90区域支撑,届时如有止跌迹象,盘整再重新考虑安排多单参与。

  crude oilMarket trend analysis:

Last week, crude oil hit a high and fell back, but ended lower. After reaching a single high in the week, it quickly turned negative. The high did not last and did not continue every other week. After a short-term decline, this week tends to decline, with a weekly rebound and a slightly dull daily trend.KThe entity of the line is slightly smaller, and it is brewing on one side during sorting. In terms of news: International institutions have lowered their expectations for global crude oil demand this year, the Federal Reserve is expected to significantly raise interest rates, and the global fight against the epidemic still faces severe challenges, suppressing the outlook for crude oil demand. However, with the European embargo on Russian crude oil, OPEC has shown no signs of further production increase and has always supported oil prices. Many institutions are still optimistic about the future prospects of oil prices.

  4The hour chart was lowered in the sawing process,109.90The high point forms a downward wave shape and rebounded last week105.40Secondary pressure, which can be considered as localBThe wave rebounds at a high point, and after breaking low, it becomes a small levelCThe wave continues, and with last Friday's seesaw decline, the probability of breaking the low and continuing this week is high, with a weaker short-term trend.1The hour chart is repeatedly sorted and finally closed at a low position, and sawing is the norm. The closing determines the continuation of the strength of the next day. With the closing price at a low level, the short-term trend is relatively weak today, and the critical point is also the second highest point105.40.As a step down channel running as an hour chart, relying on the second highest point for defense at the beginning of the week to be bearish, the resistance is101.20-101.60Each area is bearish. Looking back below97.0-94.0.One area.

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