Yu Yue on Jin:3.22Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil,黄金最新策略解套指导

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　贵金属相关资讯：

　　goldMessage analysis: Tuesday（3month22During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1930美元附近。美联储主席称必要时在5Raising interest rates at monthly meetings0.5个百分点，令多头略微有所顾忌，但因为乌克兰战事提振了对避险黄金的需求，而且油价大涨进一步提供通胀预期，仍给给金价提供支撑，分析师偏向看涨黄金后市。日内关注俄罗斯和乌克兰局势的进一步消息，同时留意其他美联储官员的讲话。大宗商品价格上涨正在帮助支撑黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力，而俄乌战争加剧了对避险资产的需求。分析师说，通胀预期在升高，经济可能会有所放缓；实际利率依然宽松，所以对黄金是个良好环境。分析师表示:“乌克兰局势的进一步升级，将推动大量避险资金转向黄金，如果制裁引发大宗商品价格再度飙升，甚至会引发通胀对冲行动。”一般情况下，美联储加息预期升温时，金价会受到一下压制，因为投资者担心利率上升会增加持有黄金的机会成本。




　　国际黄金（GOLD)

　　黄金技术面分析：日K级别的指标钝化，由于前期黄金跌幅过大，目前随机指标还是向下运行，MACD指标死叉向下，不过绿色动能柱逐渐缩量，预示短线下方空间有限，整体上黄金大级别仍是多头趋势，今日关注中轨1940附近压力能否突破企稳，此位是本周多空争夺的分水岭。今日若能企稳1940，则价格会进一步向1950-1965区域发起冲击，若再次承压1950的区间压力，那么后市将开启大级别上的调整，目前从形态来看晚间黄金打破了欧盘横盘整理区间，并破位短期形成下降趋势线阻力，技术指标方面再次击穿四小时布林带中轨，黄金还是延续调整需求。

　　黄金余越论金从4小时来看，现货黄金暂时还是处于通道内震荡，预期今日会延续走高测试周图1940阻力位，破位则关注1950平行攻防；目前1小时周期的行情整体呈阶段性下行：行情分别于1940and1930附近后圆底形态后，再收看跌吞没形态下行。现行情再次于1917附近收圆底形态，随后收中阳上涨至1937附近，后续收一系列的纺锤线和小实线整体震荡于1932-1937区间。综上所述余越论金总结：黄金目前多头反转的冲刺阶段，重点关注1949美元能否破位，破位就可以出现一个多头反转，因为日线收录中阳线，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注1950-1960USD resistance, follow below1928-1920USD support.

　　周一实盘在1925-1923-1922-1921分批布局多单，获利在1928-1930，随后在金价上涨后在1932-1928分批布局多单，获利在1937USD.

　　今日策略：回撤布局多单为主，预期支撑在1928-1920区域，上方目标看1949，破位上看，止损5dollar.

　　crude oilRelated information:

Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（3month22日）亚洲时段，美油延续涨势，刷新一周半高点至112.42dollar/桶；油价周一连续第三天上涨，美油上涨超7.0％，因部分欧盟国家推动对俄罗斯实施第五轮制裁，且俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的战争已经爆发近一个月，却仍未有结束迹象，加剧了有关市场失去俄罗斯原油供应的担忧。分析师表示，“我们回吐了一些上周的涨幅，因为多数风险仍然在，”“利率继续上升，原油、黄金和其他大宗商品也是如此。”分析师在一份声明中表示，尽管油价下跌“仍受全球供需变化、新冠肺炎和俄罗斯对乌克兰战争的影响，但本周我们将看到油价进一步下跌”。他承认油价在12周内首次下跌。他说，如果形势确实恶化，随着更多的石油被排除在全球市场之外，美国人要开始抑制对汽油的贪得无厌的需求，汽油价格仍需大幅攀升，这并非不可能。总体来看，油价受到部分欧盟国家对俄罗斯将推出新制裁影响，加之沙特原油供应或受到胡塞袭击影响，重回上涨基调，市场对地缘紧张局势能否短期结束存疑，担忧供应不足。





　　国际原油（WTI）

　　原油技术面分析：原油周二亚市盘初开盘连续上探,自日内低位110.4dollar/桶展开上行,盘中呈持续上涨;刺破113.0关口位置,刷新日内高位113.3dollar/bucket,原油自日内高位小幅回落回升,日线上,隔日原油延续前几个交易日涨势再次上行,录得实体大阳,日线上,日内均线支撑保持良好,日内等待回撤做多即可;4On the hour,隔日原油呈现震荡上行走势不断上涨,当前布林带处于开口期,MA均线三线向上,KDJ随机指标三线向前,到达超买,MACD指标红色动能柱小幅缩量,快慢线金叉向上,原油指标上出现背离迹象，上涨也达到了预期目标。综上所述余越论金总结：原油再次收阳线，多头维持比较强势，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注113.5-114.8USD resistance, follow below110-109.5dollar/桶支撑，意外下破就需要关注107.5-107.0USD.

　　周一实盘在106.9-106.5分批布局多单，最高给到108水平减仓，预期目标看110.4dollar/Bucket.

　　今日策略：回撤布局多单为主，高位为辅，支撑关注110.0-109.1区域，上方阻力位关注113.5-114.8USD.



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    本文由余越论金，vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.