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Zhou Jinrui10.27原油暴跌!黄金原油操作建议黄金、原油白银解...

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  goldMarket trend analysis
  
Message analysis: Tuesday(10month26日)国际金价回调,受美元上扬打压,投资者关注本周即将召开的几场主要央行会议。随着周一金价突破每盎司1800美元关口,黄金市场似乎开始活跃起来,因为市场担心通胀失控。市场越来越多地反映出对更高通胀的预期,许多市场参与者显然相信,目前的高通胀水平不再是暂时的。黄金作为一种价值储存手段,有望进一步从中获利。不过不断上升的通胀预期也推动了美联储收紧货币政策的预期。市场正在权衡通胀水平是否将持续下去,以及美联储能否控制通胀水平回落。
  
  技术面:黄金从日线上来看,自从上周五冲高回落后,说明形态上的通道压力存在,但昨日回补上影线后并未压制回落,而是收报中阳K线,一定程度上有所支撑金价,限制跌幅,只不过仍承压上周高点,再加上美指的企稳反弹,同样限制了黄金的涨幅,所以多空还需进一步的争夺。


  四小时来看,布林带开口向上,短期走势偏多震荡运行,目前小幅回落,下方关注日线中轨1782附近,有效破位此处,才能走弱可能,但是只要金价运行于中轨上方,短期金价依然还是多头占优!综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议低多为主,高空为辅,上方重点关注1805-1810Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1770-1775Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui(zjr8527)Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.


Operation suggestions


  1808-10Nearby empty, loss1814, look at the goal1802-1796


  1782-85Nearby, stop loss1778, look at the goal1802
  
GoldTDtechnical analysis
  
GoldTD:goldTD未能延续反弹走势,坚守住了373附近的压制,目前依旧徘徊在370元附近。照这样的走势,预计在美联储下次利率决议之前,黄金TD会一直震荡,等待新方向的指引。但在大方向上,笔者还是看好能再次下跌。因为,尽管近期金价反复,但从日线上看,360The first line rebound is only a correction during the decline process, and the previous second starting point of decline373The suppression has not been broken through. and373The yuan is the key, and if bulls want to gain momentum and further rise, they must break through here, otherwise they will still have a slight advantage for bears. But at the same time, bears only have to fall below the previous rising point, namely365-366的支撑,才能打开下行空间。今日建议,373Near empty, stop loss375上即可,看365-366跌破,目标360Gateway.
  
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
  
SilverTD:白银小阳线报收。形态上,昨日冲击5100一线遇阻回落,晚间动态小阳线震荡回升,逐步进入提示整理走势。预计白银主要运行区域对应4900-5100一带,回踩阶段重点观察区间低点4900测试表现。建议:白银可以考虑依托4900一带多单逐步跟进,止损4860一线,回升留意5000一线,该线之上运行,有望反复冲击5100一线,后续观察能否突破该线,整理上扬预期。
  
  crude oilMarket trend analysis
  
Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday(10month26日)美油小幅下跌,周一油价自2014年以来首次触及85Gateway, highest to85.41dollar/桶后回吐涨幅,伊朗与欧盟即将举行的会谈备受市场关注,此次会谈可能使2015年核协议得以恢复。虽然油价依然受到需求的支撑,但在连续上涨两个月以来,部分交易员开始获利了结,加之市场对伊核谈判持有乐观预期,油价短期或震荡偏空;此外,日内交易关注欧盟各国能源部长就能源问题召开的紧急峰会。
  
  原油技术面:原油周K线还是小碎阳上涨,后市若要见顶,要伴随最后的放量一击。目前还在慢涨当中,形态上还不足以构成顶部,短线还会继续延续这种慢性逼空上涨,一旦快速放量后就要谨防冲高回落,届时要结合形态临盘剖析。目前慢涨结构稳固,周初短线维持看多。日线守住10日线上方震荡,虽然附图指标进入高位,但目前还处于高位发散慢涨阶段。不急于过早猜顶,否则容易成为多头逼空上涨中的炮灰。目前80.60暂定为短期多头临界点,此位之上回调先行看多。操作上在慢性回踩的过程中短线多,冲高放量后及时落袋不追高。综合来看,今日原油短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以低多为主,高空为辅。上方短期重点关注85.5-86.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below82.0-82.5Frontline support.

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