Zhou Jinrui10.12原油还会涨？今日黄金原油走势分析及操作建议

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Message analysis: Monday（10month11The international gold price has slightly come under pressure due to the stabilization of the US dollar index and concerns that the Federal Reserve may begin to reduce stimulus this year despite weak employment data. The key issue currently facing gold is whether Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will11Continue to reduce the scale of bond purchases in the month. A few weeks ago, Powell stated that the test of reducing the size of bond purchases was "almost completed". Powell's comments put him in a difficult position. From employment data,11It seems unlikely to reduce the scale of bond purchases on a monthly basis. If economic data continues to be sluggish, they will not be able to raise interest rates as soon as possible. If the Federal Reserve fails to comply with its timetable and is forced to continue supporting the market for a longer period than expected, this does not mean that the economy is strong, but rather will drive safe haven demand for gold. Overall, gold prices may be more inclined towards a downward trend, especially after the failure of last Friday's bull run, where bearish risks are increasing.
　　
Technical aspect: In the technical aspect, the recent focus cannot escape the dayKStructure, achieved after five large-scale sales112After the magnitude of the US dollar, gold1721After two low point tests in the area, gold rebounded and stabilized1755Post market entry1750—1770shock. The band that seems to be logical actually goes up from both market sentiment and technology. In terms of wire collection, the physical part is under pressure in JapanKlevelMA20Below, the closing situation in the early stage of the joint venture has been postponed for the fifth day of physical decline, indicating that the upward structure revealed by gold last Thursday has been consumed, and gold has returned to a weak position. In terms of this week's focus, it is natural to make up for the previous shortcomings, such as the unwillingness of bulls to release their bearish sentiment due to insufficient backpedaling, and ultimately the decline caused by insufficient follow-up efforts. It is feared that the short-term bottoming hopes of gold will be shattered once again. Therefore, the focus of the week is1745—35Support interval. The entity is supported at this level, and gold is likely to follow a path of volatility and rebound. The timing aspect of this rhythm is10The midpoint of the month is the boundary point, where gold fluctuates and rises, and the degree of resistance will also affect1782/1794Emphasize the key points.


Daytime opening touch1750Uplink coincidence1770—50Range fluctuations, of course, on Monday without important information, there were no signs of gold breaking levels. Non agricultural gold has an impact1780The momentum is not significant, but the intensity is not significant; If the pressure drops, the band cannot escape at this time1735Further retreat. Therefore, Zhou Chu personally tends to withdraw to confirm support, with short-term resistance1766/1775Two parts can exist as short-term bearish positions. In terms of goals, focus on1750After breaking through1735The support is sufficient, and once the gold is lost, the hope of short-term bottoming will be shattered. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market was suggested by Jinrui last week to focus on lower levels with higher levels as a supplement, with a focus on higher levels1770-1775Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1735-1740Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:Last Friday night, the United States announced9The latest non agricultural data for the month fell far short of expectations, leading to a sudden surge in gold prices. goldTDIt is no exception, with a maximum of370.88Yuan. Despite the subsequent high dive and a significant drop in gold prices, the early morning retreat did not fall below the opening position of the day's short jump365-366。 Against the backdrop of the international gold cycle weekly and daily signs of a stop in decline, goldTDThere will also be a rebound. And below360The first-line support has been verified, and the second test did not break, but instead rebounded significantly. From last Friday's closing line, it can be seen that the short jump up position is not a failure, and it is a clear support for this short-term trend, with a clear signal to stop the decline. Therefore, at the beginning of this week, the author suggested suspending short selling, and instead363Going long nearby, once the gold price falls below360The support position can be adjusted to exit, and the target above Let's take a look first370-371frontline.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTDThe silver daily line is reported as a cross negative line. Morphologically, low point stepping back before the festival4600Belt, subsequent rebound and rebound testing4900On the front line, gradually fill in the gap position before the festival. It is expected that the sustained rebound of silver will be limited,4900-4930Focus on observing the area, which corresponds to the lower edge of the mid-term gap and refers to the strong resistance position of the band. Suggestion: Silver can consider relying on4900-4930Gradual intervention of short orders along the Belt and Road, stop loss4950On the first line, it is expected that the rebound and surge will end, and it is expected to rely on the later stage4800-4900Enter the vibration sorting process and observe whether it can be broken down4800On the first line, rebound short selling mentality.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（10month11US crude oil continued its upward trend last week, reaching a new high in nearly seven years82.1dollar/Barrel; The oil price rose sharply last week, with a cumulative surge of about4%The tight global energy supply is driving up oil prices, while global natural gas shortages are already boosting oil demand for power generation and heating. At the same time, the United StatesZThe government stated that it is monitoring the energy market, but did not announce immediate action to lower oil prices, further supporting the oil market. On the whole, supply is tight, and under the shadow of the global energy crisis, some countries have experienced national power outages, trying to generate electricity from crude oil, increasing demand expectations, which will continue to drive the rise of oil prices. It is worth noting that this week will usher in three major monthly reports on the crude oil market, or whether U.S. oil can stand firm80The key to the pass.
　　
Crude oil technology: From a daily perspective, oil prices have been very strong recently, with a direct breakthrough within the day80The level of the US dollar has not seen much pullback. The daily crude oil line has been fluctuating and rising with three consecutive small bullish lines, and the daily line has opened up with a bullish band. The price has been rising along the vicinity of the upper track, although there is not much room for a high level, the steady short selling slow rise is still being maintained. The daily trend does not form a trend of charging high and closing low, and the short-term trend is still subject to a chronic upward trend.4Step back before hours75.0The initial stability has formed a step up trend, which is the second low point for short-term bullish positions and also the critical point for step up. Keep the bullish mentality unchanged. The walking method of organizing while accumulating momentum and rising. The hourly chart is maintained at a high level, with potential for consolidation and surge. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was suggested by the teacher last week to prioritize low to high, supplemented by high altitude. Top short-term focus83.0-83.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below79.0-79.5Frontline support. At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single linezjr8527obtain.