Liang Qiandong10.13Can the sharp drop in gold buy a bottom? Slow rise of crude oil, intraday trend prediction and future market layout

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Liang Qiandong【lqd1918】Renowned financial bloggers focus on spot goodsgoldLondon Gold, Analysis of Gold Trends crude oilOperational recommendations,foreign exchangemarket USD exchange rate, USD index

　　

Interpretation of the Latest Gold Market
　　
News: Because the concern about the epidemic has suppressed the optimism about the possible introduction of the COVID-19 aid bill by the United States, the dollar index was basically flat on Monday, holding near a three week low, holding93At the integer level, there was a slight increase in the Asian market at the beginning of Tuesday, and trading is currently focused on93.17Nearby, after the sharp rise of gold last week, there have been some short-term profit selling in the gold market, putting slight pressure on the gold price in the short term. However, the current fundamental situation still poses certain downward risks for the US dollar, and it is expected to provide opportunities for gold prices in the future. Tuesday(10month13day)Spot gold fluctuated slightly and fell, losing ground at one point1920Pass to1917.38Nearby, the overnight decline of the US dollar has been temporarily suspended, causing some short-term bullish gold to take profits, butSPDRThe increase in holdings is approaching again for over seven and a half years, indicating that institutional investors and bullish sentiment in the medium and long term remain high. The market's attention has begun to focus on news related to the US election. Polls show that the likelihood of Biden winning the election is high. Analysts point out that if Biden wins the election, gold will rise again5%。
　　
Technical aspect: Today, focus on the following for the day1920The strength of blocking the transfer of funds at integer levels and the turning point of gold prices1916On1916Above, bullish, target1933、1938, and then1940Integer level. If running to a turning point1916Below, alternative bearish strategies can be considered, focusing first on1910The integer support of the level and pay attention to the support level1905and1900Gate support, then1895-1892Near the area. If gold prices continue to decline, a significant correction may provide more favorable opportunities for the upward trend, and the path with the least resistance to gold prices is upward. However, bulls must break through50Daily moving average resistance level1940The gateway, this is crucial. Additionally, we need to be aware that any profit taking driven decline in gold prices would result in gold prices falling below1910The support level at the checkpoint will have a negative impact on gold bulls. Overall, in terms of short-term trading strategy for gold today, Liang Qiandong's personal suggestion is to focus on a pullback and take a long position, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude Top short-term focus1930-1935Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1910-1906Frontline support. Can you please communicate with me about the situation where you have orders and covers on hand? As Liang Qiandong is not aware of the specific locations and positions of your orders, it is not possible to provide corresponding strategies for resolving them. Please add/Jialiang Qiandong Official\/Micro:lqd1918Unlock your order.
　　
Interpretation of the Latest Crude Oil Market
　　
Message surface:10month13Japan US crude oil fluctuates narrowly, current report39.47USD, increase0.1%. The Governor of the Central Bank of Libya has called on the industry to increase oil production to17010000 barrels/Today, this will exceed the country's production before the oil port blockade12010000 barrels/Day. This will have an impact onOPECThe efforts of its allies, including Russia, to suppress supply to support oil prices pose a challenge. In addition, the Asia Arab conflict also needs attention. Libya's future oil production may increase to60Ten thousand barrels, this will benefitOPECThe efforts of its allies, including Russia, to suppress supply to support oil prices pose a challenge. The Governor of the Central Bank of Libya has called on the industry to increase oil production to17010000 barrels/Today, this will exceed the country's production before the oil port blockade12010000 barrels/Day. Gulf of Mexico, United States12810000 barrels/Day (or69.4%）The crude oil production capacity and12.764Billion cubic feet/Day (or47.1%）The natural gas production capacity has been shut down. There have been more restarts than the previous day. The surge in COVID-19 cases has also put pressure on oil prices, which has raised concerns about more blockades, which may curb the demand for oil. In addition, attention should also be paid to the conflict between Armenia and Armenia. Currently, it is highly unlikely that Armenian troops will intend to directly strike“Ganja Gap”The pipeline. However, if the war continues to escalate, attacks on important oil and gas infrastructure cannot be completely ruled out.
　　
Technical aspect: Last week, crude oil surged and closed with a bullish weekly trend, digesting the shadow of the previous week's bullish weekly trend. At the same time, the trend confirms the current market fluctuation price range of crude oil36-42Interval. At the daily level, Last Friday, US crude oil41.5Due to obstruction, the daily line closed in shade. Hour levelMACDMaintaining upward momentum,RSIThe oversold area has fallen to near the median line, with a bullish trend on the moving average and a risk of leaning upwards in the short term. From the market view, crude oil is 41. 5The resistance level was obstructed three times and fell back, with obvious suppression,9Yue once launched an attack but ultimately returned without success. Although crude oil is self reliant36.6Since the strong bottoming out and rebound on the front line, prices have not broken through the daily opening and falling limit in the previous period42The checkpoint is suppressed, and the bullish market has shown continuous upward momentum, but there is still no sudden fluctuation range. In terms of operation, we will continue to treat it as a box fluctuation range. Overall, Liang Qiandong's personal suggestion for the short-term operation of crude oil today is to focus on rebounding at a high altitude, supplemented by a pullback and a long position, with a focus on short-term operations above40.5-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-38.0Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidance from Liang QiandongvYour words:lqd1918Obtaining guidance quota
　　
For friends who invest in gold and crude oil in the market, they may not be able to obtain the top news or news in the international market due to work, life and other issues, which is a great problem for gold and crude oil. Therefore, Liang Qiandong welcomes friends who invest in gold and crude oil to come to me and communicate and make progress together, so that everyone can stay informed of the international market trends at any time and place, and make the most stable orders. Currently open10Guidance quota, Liang Qiandong is available every morning7From midnight to early morning2Real time online guidance, providing investment information sharing, market analysis, current price bidding, order making skills, position management, and risk control plans! Friends who are not very ideal in terms of operation or who have set orders can provide targeted operation layout plans, which will also be of great help to friends who want to learn gold investment products. Opportunities are rare, welcome investment friends to come!
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