Xu Bohong:9.28Gold opened weakly and fell, with the latest intraday trend and operational suggestions!

　　刚过去的一周，现货gold一度下挫逾百美元，现货白银大跌近15%The market logic is very clear, namely the liquidity panic caused by the worsening of the global pandemic, especially in Europe. The US dollar index has risen significantly, reaching a two month high, and the global stock market has experienced a sell-off, which is related to3The global outbreak of COVID-19 in the month was very similar, which also led to a decline in gold. Considering the weakening of short-term selling pressure on precious metals, the future gold market needs to pay attention to these five points,1The performance of the US dollar;2Stagnant interest rates;3Key locations;4、ETFPosition holding;5、美国大选的不确定性。全球股市在本周继续下挫，此前分析师一直在讨论经济疲软的基本面与高涨的股市的背离。BI高级大宗商品策略师表示，在股市大跌的情况下，黄金被拖累大跌是难以避免的，但之后看好黄金市场再次回升。像3月那样美股的大幅下跌会带来黄金市场的应激反应，但股市波动率加剧以及进入熊市的可能将为黄金后市走高铸就底部支撑。徐博鸿认为黄金市场或许已经接近转折点了，即将有超过美股的表现，尤其是纳斯达克指数。
　　
　　不过目前来看，在整个市场波动率大幅升温，不确定性高企的情况下，黄金市场更可能先进入观望状态。我认为黄金市场会从此前超买的状态中平静下来，然后再次走高。去年黄金市场的关键阻力水平是1400dollar/盎司，今年则变成了2000dollar/盎司。黄金市场无疑是在牛市里，眼下只是长期涨势里一段回落，黄金背后的基本面仍然是非常利好的。无论是美联储大幅宽松、美国债务对GDP比重的高水平、美股的波动、利率的走低等，这些黄金利多因素还都在。
　　
　　黄金上周五早间在回撤至1861附近支撑后再次反弹，欧盘时间在反弹至1875目前位于1873附近后如期承压下跌，价格再次跌破1860支撑，从日线图上来看，行情虽有企稳止跌迹象，但需要注意的是，这并不足以代表行情就要反转了，可能是空头下跌之后的修正行情。目前上方的主要压力位在慢慢下移，而下跌通道也有可能会继续打开并延续，日内反弹并有破位1880一线压力的动作，而是再次承压下跌；
　　
　　4From an hourly perspective, there is a mild rebound after a unilateral decline;KThe line recorded the bottom signal of the star at a relatively low position,MACDLow position golden cross,KDJGold cross, there is a chance for gold prices to bottom out in the short term; Current Front View1973-1849Downtrend23.6Retreat position1877.80Nearby resistance, track resistance on the Bollinger Line1891.84附近，若能顶顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；这也说明了我们前面的预测是正确的，日内只要不突破此压，那么可继续将波段级别行情以空头趋势来看待。而下方支撑则目前需要关注1850区域，若是被跌破，那后续金价可能会进一步跌至1820-1800区域去找支撑。综合来看黄金短线操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1873-1877Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1848-1850Frontline support. Friends who want to learn more gold investment techniques can add WeChat:xbh768Every morning7From midnight to early morning2Click on real-time online guidance.
　　
　　白银也是弱势明显，趋势空依然没有改变。白银最近走势属于跟随走势为主，如图其实白银td也是跟随黄金走三角整理形态，目前区域5350reach6000区域破位以后顶底转换现在都是成为压力，也就是说5350下回测都是做空，当然前期低点5350成为顶底转换重要压力，同时对应现货白银24.5reach25Area.
　　
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Wen/Xu Bohong (WeChat:xbh768）
　　
　　以上文章由金融分析师徐博鸿独家编撰，更多黄金crude oilInvestment experience, trading operation strategy, technical interpretation of detailed news, reminders for position building and closing positions, with online guidance from Professor Xu Bohong!