Fan Chenjie:9.15黄金高位区间震荡，早盘黄金最新操作建议与分析

    goldMessage analysis:
    Monday（9month14According to Michael Pento, a US fund manager and economist, there are four factors that may drive a rocket like rise in gold and silver. He increased the proportion of gold and silver in his investment portfolio to20%. Firstly, the intense competition in the US general election and the inability of any losing party to easily accept the outcome may trigger chaos in the stock market. meanwhilePe认为美国的债务水平大幅上升，本财年几乎是上一财年的三倍。尽管美联储通过债务货币化减轻了债务负担，但是随着低利率使得美国偿债成本下降，这美国还将继续扩大借债，但在未来某一时刻利率上升，将有可能引发美国的违约风险或者新一轮的债务货币化。此外就业市场依旧疲软，大量的人口仍依赖于失业救助，加剧了财政负担。同时股市和实体经济脱节，债券市场随着市场对于法币的信心丧失而崩溃。
    Technical analysis of gold:
    日线宽幅震荡；布林带收口，金价徘徊中轨附近。MACDDead forks and green bars weaken kinetic energy,KDJAdhesion, index at40附近。从技术面看，黄金看跌情绪削弱。上行方面，先上看上周高点1966.54Looking towards further resistance9month1Daily high point1992.48. Looking at the Bollinger Belt on the Track with Strong Resistance2000关口，这是重要的心理关口，预计金价短期仍将在该关口受到压制。而一旦价格突破，将再度提振看多情绪，利好价格上测8month18Daily high point2015.59。下方初步支撑先留意盘中低点1937.32This is also the lowest point last Friday, which has some reference value. Strong support and key focus1900关口—布林带下轨1896.21，这是重要防线。短期来看，预计该区间不会轻易跌破，但如果失守，可能回踩8month12Daily low point1863.16。此外，上周低点1906.72也可适当留意。
    4Hourly wide oscillation; At the four hour level, the Bollinger Belt's three tracks are slightly tilted upwards,MACDAdhesion, weak kinetic energy,KDJSame adhesive, index located at35Nearby. From a technical perspective, gold is expected to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. On the upward side, pay attention to the Bollinger Bands on the track first1964.00Looking further at resistance levels8month27Daily high point1976.64. Looking at the front high in strong resistance1992.48. Preliminary support below, pay attention to the middle rail of the Bollinger belt first1940.88This is also related to1992.48-1906.72This wave of decline38.2%The retreat position is similar. Further support position looking down the track1917.70; Look under strong support8month26Daily low point1902.89。
    黄金开盘回落下探1936附近就开始反弹上探，一路高歌1952Blocked and falling down to explore1940附近，再次反弹上探1962附，收盘1954Nearby, Gold Radical1945Look more1952and1966Dislocation1978Nearby, steady1923Look more1930and1952Nearby, or1966Empty Look1960and1952Nearby, steady2000Empty Look1990and1960附近即可，具体做单建议以实时点位为准。综合来看，回调做多为主，可上方需要关注1990Resistance, attention from below1880附近建议。由于笔者不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可咨询辰杰官微（fcj66886688）。
    Operation suggestions:
    1Suggest using1966-1968Consider short selling and stop loss nearby5US dollars, look at the target1950-1920Near USD;
    2Suggest using1915-1917Consider going long and stopping losses nearby5US dollars, look at the target1920-1930Near USD
    寄语————
    兵书上有“背水一战”、“毕其一役”的说法，且有不少成功战例，但偶然性并不代表必然性。其实，把士兵“置之死地而后生”只是一种“赌”，偶尔行之有效，经常如此便犯兵家大忌。诸葛亮的“空城计”虽巧退敌兵，但司马懿走后他也吓出一身冷汗。投资就像打仗，当你自断退路、倾巢而出时，不要忘了螳螂捕蝉，黄雀在后。居安思危，排兵布阵，合理使用资金，科学控制仓位，不仅必要也是必须。
    writing/Fan Chenjie