Fan Chenjie:9.11黄金冲高涨乏力窄幅震荡，黄金原油最新操作建议及分析

    goldMarket trend analysis:
    Thursday（9month10日），美元指数延续前一交易日跌势，进一步远离四周高位。一方面，欧元反弹削弱美元看涨情绪；另一方面，美元也受到风险人气改善打压。现货黄金窄幅震荡，此前连续两个交易日收涨。因美元下滑，且投资者担心冠状疫苗研制工作将推迟，增强了黄金的避险吸引力。在当前全球市场多空消息持续拉锯的背景下，预计黄金短期仍将维持横盘震荡走势。但基于全球央行货币政策普遍宽松的大背景，金价中长线仍维持看涨趋势。
    最近的行情只能适合短线内交易，没有趋势机会，更难的是短线变向太快了不是很好去把握。本周最重要的风险事件要数欧洲央行的货币政策声明了。基于欧元的持续疲软，投资者正在为欧洲央行的鸽派立场做准备。根据利率市场的预测，欧洲央行的欧元隔夜指数均值显示，2021The central bank may lower interest rates this year10One basis point. So, will the European Central Bank really cut interest rates next year? It is possible, but there will definitely be no interest rate cut this week!
    Gold trend analysis:
    黄金日线来分析：黄金昨日冲高回落，目前交投在1940Near the US dollar. Daily chartMACDThe green kinetic energy column is basically stable,KDJRandom indicators remain stable at50Below the horizontal level, it indicates that the bearish momentum of gold still exists or may further fluctuate. gold4Analysis from an hourly perspective: Gold prices have briefly broken through200After the moving average continued to decline, it is currently approaching20The average level of the period.MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to weaken,KDJThe random indicator has sharply declined near the overbought level, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum for gold. From a technical perspective, gold is expected to maintain a volatile trend in the short term.
    The upward and downward trend of gold yesterday had a significant impact, and the daily trend ended with a bearish column with a long upward shadow. It continued to rely on the low point for the day1935-33Going up on the front line, this area is the support area for the previous rise, and the gold price remains stable at the end of the week1933一线支撑，不考虑过分看空。行情随着时间变换，策略也需随着行情调整，在行情没有继续下跌的情况，按预期跟进即可，所以周五也是先保持低多看涨，行情逆转在考虑改变策略。操作上辰杰建议低多看涨，上方关注1960Suppress, follow below1933-35的支撑；文章只能给出一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点时机，请关注樊辰杰官微（fcj66886688）Will be provided in real-time.
    Suggestions for Gold Operations:
    gold1940-1935Multiple, stop loss1930, Objective1948-1960
    crude oilMarket trend analysis:
    消息面分析；周五（9month11US crude oil slightly declined and briefly fell below during trading37USD level, current report37.21USD, decline0.24%. Overall, the overall trend of oil prices is bearish, with concerns about slowing demand being the biggest driving factor, but the market is still paying attention to itOPEC+The trend of. at presentOPEC+Caught in a dilemma, on the one hand, low oil prices have led to a widening budget deficit, but on the other hand, if we deepen production cuts to support oil prices, it may lead to a loss of market share. It is expected thatOPEC+A preliminary signal may be given on this issue at the meeting. Focus on US crude oil drilling data for the day, with two weeks recording an increase in the past three weeks. Simultaneously following the United StatesCPI数据，辰杰认为在通胀预期升温和美元贬值的环境下，油价仍有望反弹。美国能源信息署(EIA)Reported that US crude oil inventories increased last week200Ten thousand barrels. This confirms that the American Petroleum Institute(API)Report inventory increase300The trend of tens of thousands of barrels, and the general market prediction is to reduce130万桶。尽管处于超卖区间，但是对于需求的忧虑将继续限制油价反弹的空间，直到出现明显的需求回升的信号。
    Technical analysis:
    从日线上来看，隔日原油再次回落，反弹受压制于5The daily moving average has fallen, with a shift from rising to falling during the day, recording a mid day bearish candlestick with a long upward shadow. On the daily chart, crude oil is still operating today5日线下方，压制性较强，日内或将继续下跌；四小时来看，隔日原油持于中轨运行，不断下行，当前布林带收口向下运行，MAAfter moving out of the golden cross, the moving averageMA5Turning head downwards andMA10Forming a dead cross,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,MACD指标红色动能柱开始缩量，快慢线平行向前，综合来看，原油目前处于反弹修正之中，但顶部压制性较强，日内仍有下行趋势，所以综合分析操作上辰杰建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注38-38.5One line of resistance, pay attention below36.5-36Frontline support.
    寄语————
    成功不一定有捷径，但一定有方法。我们不要当别人奇迹的听众，而是自己行动起来，做奇迹的创造者。机遇总是垂青于有准备的人，奇迹常常发生在有眼光的人身上。千里马常有，而伯乐不常有。选择很重要。我不想说我有多厉害，我只想说你是幸运的，因为你遇到了我；我也想说你是不幸的，因为你错过我了。成功的人往往有不同的方式和路径，但他们都会有一个共同的特点：抓住时机并把握机遇！无论你在其他方面如何成功，到了市场里，赢输就是唯一标准。佛渡有缘人，我带有心人！
    writing/Fan Chenjie