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Time will precipitate the most genuine emotions; Wind and rain will test the warmest companionship. Those who walk away are just fleeting moments; What remains is a cherished bond. Come enthusiastically, not necessarily for a long time; If love is plain, it may not be heartless. What the eyes see may be an illusion, but what the heart feels is the most real. Time tells us that simple liking is the most long-term; Ordinary companionship is the most reassuring; The person who understands you is the warmest. If you want to become a big tree, don't compare with the grass! In the short term, compared to trees, the growth rate of grass is definitely more pronounced, but after a few years, the grass has changed a few times, and the trees are still trees. So there are only ancient and big trees in this world, but there is no ancient or big grass. Investment is the same, what matters is not the speed of the moment, but the sustained development power. A person who lacks confidence and strength in their heart often needs to improve their aura by losing their temper, which is a potential manifestation of inferiority. A truly powerful person is extremely soft, and those who are good at controlling situations can achieve calmness and composure. They are like water and are good at benefiting all things without competition. When a person reaches a certain stage of growth, the obstacles they encounter are not the bottleneck of their skills, but the control and management of their own emotions, which is a direct manifestation of their limited mind and pattern. Cultivation is learning to control one's temper, emotions, and then to control one's funds and become a winner in investment.
————近期有哪些消息面影响goldcrude oil走势?后市该如何布局?
隔夜黄金为何大跌?周三因特朗普遭弹劾下台的担忧情绪降温,叠加国际贸易局势和缓,令市场避险情绪降温。同时美联储官员埃文斯表达了不支持降息的立场,黄金自3周高点回落逾30美元。国际贸易局势也出现了乐观消息,隔夜美股大涨,避险情绪显著降温;而且有美联储票委反对进一步降息,也帮助美元创两周新高,都对金价形成打压;后市金价面临下破1500The risk of the gateway.
张晨雷分析认为,弹劾总统是涉及多个步骤,需经多个月的过程,可能出现的潜在证据,这意味围绕美国宏观经济及政策前景的不确定性及干扰将会连绵数月,金融市场对此高度敏感。接下里投资者将密切关注北京时间周四20:30The United States will announce its second quarter gross domestic product(GDP)终值,这是日内最受关注的经济数据。假如美国第二季度GDP终值好于预期,这可能会进一步打压市场对美联储降息的预期,从而推动美元进一步上涨。其次则是北京时间周四21:30,欧洲央行行长德拉基发表讲话。假如措辞鸽派,可能令欧元/美元承压。
————国际黄金行情走势分析
昨日黄金承压1535一线震荡回修,晚间受美元强势回升以及避险情绪降温影响,黄金出现大幅回落,跌破1525后下跌加速,最终低点回撤至1500附近,日线收得一大阴线。日线结构上,昨日阴线实体贯穿跌破多条均线,且回吐此前连续回升的大部分空间,如此的形态基本可以判断短期行情将再度回归到偏弱修正的状态中,同时如此剧烈的行情,也验证了避险情绪给市场带来的风险,即一旦避险情绪降温,行情将大幅回吐避险情绪带来的回升空间。昨日的回落使得1530-35一带如期的构成了短线的压制,按照日线结构,此前预期的“头肩顶”形态也就得到进一步的确认,1530-35肩部位形成,那么未来下方或将再度去考验1485-80附近的颈部位支撑,倘若此位后期失守,那么黄金将进入到中周期的波段调整趋势中。
结合小时图走势来看,目前行情在1500附近是有争夺的,但是鉴于上方1520-25已经失守,日内行情有回弹也仅视为测压的过程,以及再选择高点位短空的机会。上方先关注1510争夺,预期突破一下的可能性是有的,重点关注1515附近回弹测试,此位也是5日线位置,主要压制看1520-25一带。下方关注1500争夺,日内如果消化昨日大阴线,那么短期跌破1500的可能性就不是很大,但是只要回弹空间未站回到1520-25,那么后期就大概率还是会回落的,其间震荡周期越长,幅度越小,那么后期进一步下跌的概率就越大。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上张晨雷个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1518-1520Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1495-1500Frontline support.
黄金可参考建议:
1Suggestions1515Stop loss without breaking into the empty space1520, Objective1505-1500;
2Suggestions1503不破进多,止损1498, Objective1510-1512;
3、若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可关注张晨雷レ,亻言:zc4867Get more real-time guidance.
————国际原油行情走势分析
油价周三下跌逾1%,连续第二天下跌,此前美国公布上周原油库存意外增加,而沙特石油产量恢复速度快于预期;美元指数上扬也令油价承压,因民主党控制的众议院正式对特朗普总统启动弹劾调查;美国能源信息署(EIA)表示,上周美国原油库存意外增加240万桶,分析师预估为减少24.9万桶;晨雷认为市场承压,沙特阿拉伯恢复全面生产的速度远快于市场预期,加之库存数据利空,但随着美国表示可能很快就会与中国达成避险协议,情况有所好转;
原油昨日走弱,亚欧盘窄幅整理,美盘时段终究还是没能启稳前一日低点走反弹,打开了短线图布林道,日图收成饱满中阴线。4On the hour,K线跌至布林带下轨之外,一众均线按顺序排列向下,MACD快慢线也是跌至O轴下方,非常标准的空头排列行情。小时线上空头能量有削弱的迹象,表明短线有可能会走出反弹,4小时来看,震荡下行;MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,布林线轨道初步开口,油价存在沿布林线下轨向下运行的风险,前期缺口支撑在55.68附近,若失守该支撑,则增加后市看空信号;上方初步阻力在布林线中轨58.15附近,若能收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号;布林线上轨阻力在59.49附近。原油就是低多不放手!综合来看,今日操作思路上张晨雷个人建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方重点关注57.5-57.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below56.4-56.6Frontline support.
原油可参考建议
1Suggestions57.0Stop loss without breaking into the empty space57.5, Objective56,2-56.0;
2Suggestions55,7不破进多,止损55.2, Objective56.5-57.0;
3、更多实时喊单,解套,策略,分析,添加レ,亻言zc4867Get it!
————晨雷寄语
期黄金走势大起大落,多少人吃尽了苦头,损完空单,多单又开始套了,投资中的心酸无奈,一句时运不济不足以道明!这些天也有很多投资者跟张晨雷说,说老师看了你的文章写的很像我的现状,空单套了套多单,感觉一直是在被套中度过,就没有一丝一毫的盈利。
没有被套偶尔做对一两单不知道什么时候出局犹豫了就亏了。完全把握不了行情的多空趋势。自己没有能力去把控,看到我的文章很有感触就希望我能帮助他们希望能够挽回亏损,指导盈利在交易中去学习如何交易,如何控制风险,如何判断行情趋势。晨雷之前也说过,你能来我就能帮你。
Note: The above analysis is for reference only, and the market is constantly changing. When making an order, be sure to bring a stop loss! Investment carries risks, so be cautious when entering the industry!
张晨雷老师全方位指导时间:早7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
全方位指导老师:张晨雷分析团队
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