9.5Analysis of the trend of the gold market, with sharp rises and falls, and small non farm operations in the evening. Strategy layout and solution

　　交易中，也许我们同样会经历太多的不如意，太多的希望变失望，但成长的阶梯和岁月的轮回，只是滚滚向前，沉淀过去的故事，进入一个全新的开端。我们在交易中，一定要控制好自己的心态，要让自己保持着做模拟的心态，心态要平和，遇到突发状况要保持冷静，当然一个好的指导老师更是会事半功倍。然而很多投资朋友对指导老师的依赖度太强，什么都指望老师指导，做了几年投资，亏过赚过，但从来没有总结过，也没有学到什么，这类投资者会出现一个典型的现象就是经常亏损，一亏损就换老师。但是想学游泳不能总站在岸上看，跳下去才是第一步。其次，做单方面不要犹豫，该进的时候就进，不要想一下进到很好的点位，或者一下盈利上百点，这个是一个长期的投资，需要我们积少成多，通过长时间的获利来达到我们的预期收益。犹豫不决、举棋不定最容易让投资者错失良机，话不多说，来说行情。
　　
　　————近期有哪些消息面影响goldcrude oilTrend? How should the future market be laid out?
　　
Wednesday(9month4day)The US dollar plummeted, hitting a three-day low to98.389The pound rose against the US dollar1.22At the checkpoint, the price has risen above1.4%, creating3month13The largest single day increase in recent days, as the UK Parliament voted to pass a bill to prevent a no deal Brexit and rejected Prime Minister Johnson's proposal for early elections, investors have become slightly optimistic about the prospects of Brexit. With the gold price hitting a new high in over six years, the increasing demand for safe haven assets has driven the rise of other precious metals, and spot silver has hit a new high2016year9New high since the beginning of the month19.649dollar/ounce. The United States announced plans to increase sanctions against Iran, and Russia stated that9After the decrease in monthly crude oil production, oil prices have risen nearly4%。
　　
　　周三金价走高，现货黄金一度较日低反弹超20The US dollar has reached a new high in over six years1557.11dollar/Ounces, the sharp decline in the US dollar index supported gold prices, and in addition, in the United States10When the yield of the one-year treasury bond bond was close to the three-year low, the focus returned to the soaring oil price in the economy. The United States announced plans to increase sanctions against Iran, and Russia said9After the decrease in monthly crude oil production, US oil closed at per barrel56Above the US dollar. The US Special Envoy for Iran AffairsBrian HookThe United States will increase its maximum pressure on Iran; According to the International News Agency, the Russian Minister of EnergyAlexander NovakIndicate the country9Concerns about a decrease in monthly oil production.
　　
　　张晨雷个人观点：基本面上来看，中长期对黄金构成利多支撑；从黄金月线图来看，也支撑牛市。但，牛市并不代表着可以无脑做多，毕竟上涨不是直线，中间中线级别的调整也是随时会发生。就中短期而言，缓和所引起的回调一般都是短暂且有限的，像近期突发消息频繁，很不好控制，如果意外套空套多，甚至连套，可想而知！消息面，它的不确定性，是永远无法去预测的，但事实已然如此，我们还需面对现实，所以晨雷建议朋友们操作上，切勿追涨杀跌，做单切勿重仓。
　　
　　————国际黄金行情走势分析
　　
　　黄金周三延续升势，美市盘中最高上探至1557Set a new six-year high. At present, technically speaking, gold bulls still have recent technical advantages, and gold prices are still in a three-month upward trend on the daily chart. Gold rebounds strongly and approaches1560The level supports our bullish view both in the short term and within the day. On the daily chart, there has been a sharp rise for three consecutive trading days this week, with three major bullish lines on the daily chart,KThe line runs in the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the Bollinger Bands contracting and rising. On the evening of the week, the US stock market surged sharply, and the daily chart hit a new high. The daily chart closed at a vertical line on Wednesday, and it is predicted that gold will continue to be bullish on today's trend. In the short term, the 4-hour line gold will slightly retrace to1542Shaking, the gold below did not fall to below the opening price in the morning1540Below, it indicates that the bullish trend is very strong, and if the intraday operation persists without falling below it1540Continue to layout multiple orders below, look forward to multiple orders1560.
　　
　　日线结构上，黄金在前一日阳线作用下，昨日再收一阳是允许的，出现新高也是允许的，但是技术指标依旧还是顶部背离状态，行情也是历史性的高位状态，技术上积压的调整风险依旧不能忽视。且在周五非农数据前，行情出现如此偏激走势，也在一定程度上加大了周五晚间行情的不确定性和风险性。结合小时图走势，目前行情有所回撤，回到1550Running below, a small band of rebound trend has formed on the hourly chart, and attention should be paid to the lower part of the day1540Nearby support testing, the main support is still in place1530Nearby, once this position is lost, the pressure of technical adjustment will become very high. Follow above within the day1550、1555-57as well as1560The possibility of stress testing, in short, will make it very difficult for the market to further rise. Even if there are further favorable fundamentals, the timeliness will be relatively short. It is necessary to guard against the accumulated demand for technical adjustments. Overall, Zhang Chenlei's personal suggestion for today's operational strategy is to focus on long positions during a pullback and short positions during a rebound, with a secondary emphasis on short positions during a rebound. Please pay close attention to the above1557-1560Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1530-1533Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. For more details, please follow Zhang Chenlei's official account||Wei:zc4867）
　　
　　————国际原油行情走势分析
　　
　　周三日KCollect entities with longer upper shadows and less obvious lower shadows, ending two consecutive bearish trends. The price has broken through the continuous moving average and resistance of the Bollinger Bands, and is currently operating within the upper middle range of the Bollinger Bands, surpassing the short-term moving average. The Bollinger Bands have slightly closed. auxiliary indicatorVOLReduce transaction volume,MACDRed column kinetic energy reappears,DIFFChange the downward trend and turn the head upwards,KDJSynchronize upwards to form a golden fork. In the four hour chart, oil prices are represented byMA5Supported by the moving average, continuously breaking through the short-term and medium-term moving averages upwards, and breaking through the levelsMA5、MA90The continuous position formed by the Bollinger Bands reaches the upper middle range of the Bollinger Bands and runs above the short-term moving average; On the hourly chart, the clustered moving average diverges upwards, and the price repeatedly breaks through the resistance of the upper Bollinger Bands before falling back. Currently, it is under pressureMA5The moving average and Bollinger Bands have opened significantly. Overall, the rebound force has increased, but due toAPIThe negative impact poses a challenge to the sustained upward trend.
　　
　　昨天的上涨源于三个方面，首先是美将会对伊阵营施加“最大压力”；其次，俄罗斯表示9Monthly oil production will decrease; Finally, the rebound of the US stock market has driven the three majorstock market indexOverall upward trend, risk assets are stimulated to enter the market, and oil prices are supported to rebound. Announced in the morningAPIAccording to inventory data, while the market generally expects crude oil inventories to continue to decline, actual inventories unexpectedly increased, and gasoline inventories decreased less than expected, which is like a blow to the bulls who surged yesterday. Today isEIAThe big data market trend will be driven by the three major data points in the evening. Zhang Chenlei still suggests that everyone enter the market ten minutes after the data is released to avoid being confused by speculative funds entering the market in a short period of time. Due toAPICompletely opposite to market expectations in crude oil inventory data, evening'sEIAIf crude oil inventory andAPIThe synchronous rise will lead to a rapid decline in prices, and whether US oil production will continue to increase this week after hitting a new historical high last week will affect the direction of oil prices in the short term. Overall, Zhang Chenlei's personal suggestion for today's trading strategy is to focus on long positions with a pullback, supplemented by high rebounds, and pay close attention to short-term gains above56.8-57.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below54.8-55.0Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. For more details, please follow Zhang Chenlei's official account||Wei:zc4867）
　　
Four key elements to note when making an order:
　　
　　1Trend is always the king of steady profits, follow the trend, and the day when going against the trend will eventually lead to losses, go against the trend and die.
　　
　　2Every time you place an order, be sure to enter the market with a light weight and gradually increase your position to avoid losses caused by sudden issuance.
　　
　　3Every transaction must have a strict stop loss, do not arbitrarily amplify the stop loss or do not set a stop loss.
　　
　　4What you need is not just a good suggestion, but also a good mindset!
　　
The entry point for investment relies on technical analysis, followed by mentality, position management, and luck. The emergence, maintenance, and expansion of profits rely on mobile stop loss and stop profit.
　　
Investment is originally a self-cultivation, with only a starting point and no ending. For example, when cutting an onion, you always close your eyes, thinking that you won't shed tears, but when you cut it, you still cry. Investment is not worth it. Carrying it alone, you think you can get through today, but tomorrow's wind and rain still wipe away all your extravagant hopes. So, the highest investment level: strict stop loss, refusal to resist orders, in order to get your share of wealth.
　　
　　从你看到晨雷文章起，恭喜你开始走上投资理财轨道，相信我们不仅是投资理财的良师益友，还是生活中的知己朋友。做单需要勇气，持单需要分析!Success does not rely on luck, choice is greater than effort!Win once with the right market, win once with the right person!You win and I accompany you to conquer the world, watching a prosperous era;If you lose, I will accompany you and help you rise again.
　　
　　本文由张晨雷（微信：zc4867---Official account: Zhang Chenlei) is the exclusive original of the analyst. I have always been keen on the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice. Because the online document is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting
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