宏建论市：5.10晚间黄金原油分析及操作，防止黑天鹅。

gold晚间分析：


      From the daily chart, yesterday's daily chart showed a bearish candlestick with a long upper shadow, indicating that gold has encountered very strong suppression. However, due to the closing price being above the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average being below1279-1280Forming support, coupled with the sharp contraction of the Bollinger Bands as a whole, means that there are signs of short-term volatility in the market, so caution is needed to be bearish in the short term;

       from4From an hourly perspective, after overnight highs and lows, the gold price fell again this morning. However, when it touched1279Afterwards, the bulls launched a slight rebound. As of now, they have collected one bullish cross star and one solid bullish line, which further confirms the effectiveness of the support. With the current price already breaking through5Daily moving average suppression,30and60The daily moving average overlaps with the short-term daily moving average to provide support, coupled with the overall upward contraction of the Bollinger Bands,MACDThe two lines formed a golden cross and rushed out of the oversold area,KDJThe oversold area indicator also turned upwards, showing strong upward momentum, so,4Overall, at the hourly level, the bulls are expected to recover some of the lost ground from the previous night, and there is even a possibility of exploring strong pressure again. Overall, my personal suggestion is to focus on rebounding at high levels, with long positions as a supplement during pullbacks, and pay close attention to the above areas1288-1290Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1275-1276Frontline support.


       Suggestions for Gold Operations:

       1Bounce from above to1288-1290Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1278-1280frontline;


       2Lower callback to1278-1280Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1284-1286frontline;


crude oil晚间分析：


　　从技术面来看，布林带微微收口向下，K线交投于布林带中轨下方，MA5AndMA10均线呈死叉运行，MACD指标死叉向下，绿色动能良好放量，KDJ三线呈初步金叉发散，日线图观察依旧在震荡格局中；四小时级别上观察，布林带微微开口向上，K线交投于布林带上轨附近，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线粘合向上，MACD指标于零轴下方金叉缓慢运行，红色动能缩量，KDJ三线初步呈金叉发散，短线看原油原油多头占优。


　　从技术形态来看原油调整后短线有向上趋势，下方60为重要分水岭，这也是本周早些时笔者周报告中说到的周线强支撑，只要不下破油价就将进一步上涨，突破后续下看58，但现在形态仍是60-63区间震荡，四小时现处布林上轨，受四小时MA60average62.5压制，若亚盘时间段不突破62.5可轻仓空一次，看62。若突破62.5Callback to62.2-62可多一次目标可以看62.8-63，对于日内操作思路建议在没有走出63-60区间依然按区间震荡对待，突破后看顺延。上方关注62.5-63Pressure, following below61-60.50支撑变化。


      Suggestions for crude oil operation:

      1Bounce from above to62.6-62.4Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target61.6-61.4frontline;

      2Lower callback to61.2-61.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target62.2-62.4frontline.


  本文作者：宏建论市   
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