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[paragraph]Monday(4month9日)期金收涨0.17%Report1339.6dollar/ounce; Futures and bank gains0.73%Report16.48dollar/盎司。周一美股继续反弹,道指盘中一度大涨超400点,对gold构成一定压力。但后来关于FBI官员突击搜查美国总统特朗普私人律师办公室的报道,导致美股在最后一小时回吐几乎全日涨幅。美俄争端再起也引发避险情绪,上周五美国财政部公布,将对38个俄罗斯个人、官员、公司和国企实施制裁。同时,叙利亚再现“化武疑云”,特朗普点名让普京负责,也令俄美关系急转直下。此外,美国政府周一公布数据显示,美国预算赤字到2020年料将超过1万亿美元,将比此前所预料的提前两年时间到来,特朗普批准的减税和增加开支对长期经济增长的支持作用几乎微乎其微。实物需求方面则传来不利消息,黄金矿业服务公司表示,印度三月黄金进口较去年同期减半至52.5Tons.
虽然上周五公布的非农新增就业人口令市场大失所望,但平均每小时工资月率超过预期,这提振了市场对通胀走高的预期。而今年美联储加息次数的多寡,也在一定程度上取决于美国通胀水平的走势。今晚20:30The United States Department of Labor will announce3monthPPI报告,美国3monthPPI月率预期为0.1%, previous value is0.2%,投资者需密切关注。​
黄金:黄金周一录得一根下长影线小阳线,行情延续上一交易日多头收阳格局,整体表现强势形态。日图上布林带缓和朝上运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a dead fork and slows down,K线交投于布林中上轨之间,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方近粘合太向右走平,红色动能微幅放量,KDJ三线拐头朝上行将交金叉,行情表现一定偏强格局;
from4小时图来看,黄金下探上一个大波段1307reach1357of76.4%Location, i.e1320一线形成双底结构,也就是在下方的结构性底部1320一线没有破位前,黄金都要保持震荡偏向多头走势格局不变,当然黄金后市要真正的走强上行,还是要先行破位大的盘整带顶部1345一线,才能真正确定黄金的震荡上涨格局,短线继续将黄金当作震荡偏多的格局不变,昨日欧盘黄金下探上一个大波段1307reach1357of61.8%Location, i.e1326一线区域企稳直接走强上行,操作上还是依托1326一线看黄金的震荡上行走势不变,从指标来看,RSI中部拐头向上,Stoch指标高位死叉向下,目前运行在中部,但是K线有望收阳上行,那么K线将会提前终结黄金的调整走势。 综合来看,黄金在连续的震荡走势之中,多头节节攀升,低点不断上移,高点不断刷新,目前来看金价仍然有上涨的空间,今日操作上建议低多为主,上方关注1343First line pressure level, follow below1330Frontline support. Gold operation suggestions:
1Suggest using1342-1344Consider short selling and stop loss nearby3US dollars, look at the target1337-1330Near the US dollar;
2Suggest using1329-1331Consider going long and stopping losses nearby3US dollars, look at the target1336-1243Around the US dollar.
crude oilFixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.05USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
Silver: Fixed margin600USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.025USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss20USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
美黄金:保证金估计600USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.5USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
天然气:保证金400The US dollar fluctuates in one hand0.005USD return, fluctuating0.001Profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.