Federal Reserve3The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is86.5%, to6月份维持利率不变的概率为39.2%
According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is13.5%The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is86.5%。美联储到4Monthly cumulative interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is24.1%The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is74%Accumulated interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is2.0%。美联储到4The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is39.2%Accumulated interest rate reduction25Basis points and50个基点的概率分别为47.5%、12.5%。