Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month23day)国际金价创一周半新高至1858.05美元盎司,受助于美元走软。尽管美国国债收益率上涨限制了以美元计价的黄金涨幅,但黄金也不确定性加剧的时候也被视为避险资产,美元指数下滑,因投资者愈发担忧美联储加速升息可能给经济带来的负面冲击。圣路易斯联储主席布拉德上周重申了他的观点,即美联储今年应该将利率提高至3.5%,以便更快地控制高通胀。原金油认为:关于黄金是否摆脱了中期下行趋势,还是仅仅因美元持续回调而上涨,目前尚无定论。在转向结构性看涨之前,我需要看到黄金在美元走强的情况下保持近期涨幅。10年期美债收益率在连续三个交易日下跌后走强,限制了对非孳息资产黄金的需求,但美元疲软使黄金对海外买家更具吸引力,且黄金也被视为经济危机期间的避险资产。宏观经济前景恶化以及通胀上升仍应支持黄金,股市表现不佳的风险上升增强了其分散风险的吸引力。目前美国经济陷入衰退的风险越来越大,美国经济陷入衰退的原因要么是通胀上升,要么是美联储的政策失误。原金油认为近期美元的升势似乎正在消退,技术上金价似乎正在反弹,金融市场仍存在很多不确定性和波动性。”
黄金技术面分析: 从黄金周KOn the line, the support below the gold price is stable, and bulls have been able to stop in recent weeks8月以来的跌势,并有望迎接一波反弹行情。上方初步阻力1888附近。一条长期上行趋势线显得尤为重要,若能持续交投于此线上方,则长期行情有望迎来反转。下方1825已经转化为初步支撑;日线级别单边下跌后反弹;KDJ金叉信号增强,MACD有金叉趋势,金价低位震荡后收复200日均线,在失守该位置前,短线偏向多头,甚至有望扭转前期跌势,初步阻力在5month3Daily low point1850Near the checkpoint ,21Daily moving average resistance1862Nearby,1998-1786Downtrend38.2%Resistance to retreat position1867.67附近,若能收复该位置,则增加看涨信号。下方200Daily moving average1839已经转化为初步支撑所在,进一步支撑在1830关口附近,也可以参考5Daily moving average1828.48附近位置,若回落至该位置下方,则削弱短线看涨信号。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上原金油建议以回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1844-1839Frontline support
Golden Operation Concept
1、 Suggestions1865-70Participated empty, stop loss1878, look at the goal1850-45;
2、 Suggestions1850-45Multiple participation, stop loss1840, look at the goal1865-70;
【白银行情走势分析】
白银近期受美联储加息影响,日线迎来单边一路下行,并且成功打开布林下轨空间,最低下探了20关口附近,其跌势延续性极强。目前触及20.4位置得以缓解跌势,并且重回22关口附近,多头出现反弹信号。现在日、周线都处于严重超卖区,就看白银能不能延续反弹回升了,毕竟从26关口超跌了那么多,也该进行反弹修复了。日线RSI指标已经从超卖区转头向上修复运行,MA5—MA10均线开始金叉上行,MACD红柱能开始放量,加之周线成功收尾在前低21.5之上,对于多头还是有力。目前重点关注22关口,此位置正是之前底顶转换位置也是布林中轨压制点,若是能够突破22关口那么将有望冲击23关口,操作上回调21There are many nearby.
I don't know what kind of dream you have in the investment market, and I don't care how much you put in for this dream and how much disappointment you have. But if you always carry this dream, you can definitely achieve it! The process of realizing your dreams is very difficult and not easy. In the process of striving for your dreams, you will suffer repeated disappointments, failures, and endless pain. For those who have experienced hardships, please do not give up on your dreams. Painful times will always pass, and success will truly happen to you. On the investment road, the teacher is willing to become a bright light, guiding you forward. Even if there are more challenges, I will accompany you to complete them together.