美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会中的言论甚至更具鹰派倾向,仿佛他已经排除了此后降息的可能性,他在新闻发布会中的言论甚至比FOMC声明更偏鹰派。美联储主席鲍威尔的言论已经十分清晰,美联储已经完成此轮降息,除非在未来几个月内,经济数据或地缘政治发展以令人惊讶的方式恶化。不幸的是,只有在未来,市场回顾时我们才能知道,美联储到底决定在一轮降息周期中暂时停顿,还是已经完全结束了本轮降息。在今日降息后,美联储联邦基金利率自5For the first time since the month10年期国债收益率,这也就表明,美联储的政策立场已经不再紧缩。在经历了数个月的倒挂后,收益率曲线本月重新趋于上行。收益率曲线的变化与20century90年代的情况相似,彼时美联储在三次降息后结束了其暂时性的周期调整。
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDRandom indicators flatten out,KDJ死叉,布林线开始收口,中线走势参考布林线轨道1475.88-1512.25区域突破情况。彭宇鑫认为若下破1475.88附近支撑,则金价偏向再次试探前期的1459.14Nearby support,7month19The daily high is supported by1453.09Nearby,1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1446.24附近。若意外顶破布林线上轨1512.25附近阻力,则增加后市看涨信号;短线的话,布林线中轨1494.06and1500整数关口附近也分别存在一些阻力。
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Short line4小时留意布林线轨道1481.67-1497.19区域突破情况;布林线中轨对金价形成压制,在顶破布林线中轨1497.19前,后市偏向震荡下行。布林线上轨阻力在1512.71附近,若意外顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号,综合来看,今日短线操作思路上彭宇鑫个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1500-1502Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1485-1487Frontline support.
黄金可参考建议:
1Suggestions1500-1502Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1492-1494frontline;
2Suggestions1485-1487Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1495-1497frontline;
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