Bo Hu Lun Jin:10.7黄金高开预示后市怎样的信号？开盘黄金走势分析操作建议

Seizing the current possibilities(Trading opportunities)之后，获得的是一个未来盈利的预期。这个预期可能实现，也可能不实现，可能实现得没有预期那么好，也可能超预期实现。既然任何分析方法获得的都只是一种可能、一个预期，所以在把握当下进行交易的时候，应该还包含一个完备的防范方案，包括常规的进场离场的设计，也包括行情变异或突发行情发生的应对方法等。我们说一个人技术水平高，无非是他经过分析得出的可能性概率高，无非是他把握当下交易机会的节奏好，无非是他预期未来行情走势实现的概率高，无非是他风险控制得好、最终结果比较理想。
　　
SpotgoldInformation analysis:
　　
Friday（10month4日）日期金微幅收跌，COMEX 12Monthly goldfuturesClosing down0.06%Report1512.90dollar/盎司，因美国新增就业低于市场预期，但9The monthly unemployment rate has decreased3.5%, approaching50年来的最低水平，令对美联储今年将大幅降息的押注降温；此外美股大涨也削弱了黄金的避险需求。美联储主席周五发表简短讲话称，虽然美国经济面临一些风险，但还处于良好状态。
　　
　　美国劳工部公布的数据显示，私营部门就业9Monthly increase11.4万，逊于增加13万的分析师预估中值；总体非农就业增加13.6万，亦不及预期；平均时薪同比增长2.9%，涨幅为一年多来最低，且逊于预期；不过，美国前几个月的就业增长数据被向上修正，使前两个月的非农就业人数增加了4.5万人，使得投资者感到欣慰。高级人士表示，数据的修正表明，经济状况要好于预期。
　　
　　在早前一系列较预期疲弱的数据提振了黄金的避险需求之后，就业数据可能给市场带来一些安慰。就业报告公布后，联邦基金利率期货交易员对10月降息的预期亦有所走低，1月联邦基金利率期货暗示，到2019年底利率为1.47%，在数据发布前为1.445%。高级人士指出：美联储今年至少还会再降息一次，但12月的会议是否会行动仍不确定。美国经济短期内不会跌落悬崖，金价可能会出现一些疲软，但总体看涨的趋势应该会保持不变。
　　
　　黄金在上周上涨之后一直持稳于1500Above the US dollar,EMA50指标和随机指标形成矛盾的信号。对此博虎论金对黄金持中立的态度，直到获得有关下一趋势更清楚的信号，即黄金是突破1526美元阻力位，还是跌破1485美元支撑位。一旦金价突破1526美元阻力，将推动金价重新回到主要上行轨道，并指向首个看涨目标1555美元。相反，如果金价跌破支撑位，则将出现更大的修正，初步目标指向1447美元区域。
　　
　　早间黄金行情走势分析：
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，由于受到强势美元打压，打击了黄金的吸引力，金价曾创下8month6Recently, it has reached a new low1459dollar/盎司。但随着新一波美国经济数据不尽如人意，制造业颓势蔓延到服务业，美元指数迅速转跌，美联储年内料加速降息。金价进而收复全部跌势并转升，终盘收涨0.52%to1504.65dollar/ounce.
　　
　　技术面来看，金价在1460附近获得支撑后展开反弹，收复1500关口，日线图KDJ金叉，增加了短线看涨信号，留意布林线中轨1506.57附近阻力，万胜道金认为若能收复该位置，后市可能会重新试探布林线上轨1544.49附近阻力；另外，9month26Rihe1512.39和上周高点1535.75附近也存在一定的阻力。不过，由于布林线中轨依然对金价形成压制，而且MACD死叉信号仍在，博虎论金认为若金价回落至5Daily moving average1491.05下方，则削弱短线看涨信号；布林线下轨支撑在1468.72附近，若进一部失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上博虎论金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1506.57；1512.39；1519.72；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1500.00；1495.97；1492.88；
　　
　　早间黄金参考建议策略：
　　
　　1Suggestions1495(Up and Down)1美元）不破做多，止损1490, Objective1510-1518；
　　
　　2Suggestions1520(Up and Down)1美元）不破做空，止损1525, Objective1506-1500；
　　
　　（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，具体操作策略以 Bo Hu Lun Jin KD1394Based on actual offer guidance)??
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，国际油价连续第二周大跌，NYMEX原油价格本周大跌逾5%, creating7月中旬以来最大周度跌幅，且刷新近两个月低点。制造业危机向服务业蔓延，市场忧心全球经济增长放缓将损及燃料需求。沙特阿拉伯石油产能已经完全恢复到遭受袭击前的水平。厄瓜多尔将从1month1日起退出OPEC。
　　
　　技术面来看，原油在50.52附近位置的支撑极强，该位置是2019year1month14以来的低点所在，1month4Daily low point support at50.38附近，同时6month5日油价也曾在该位置附近获得支撑，6month5日低点为50.60，而且自5month1日以来，油价大致处于50.52-63.96区域的箱体宽幅震荡，目前箱体下轨给油价提供了较好的支撑，日线图KDJ运行至超卖区域，短线油价下破50.52附近支撑的可能性较小。周四油价在重要支撑处录得十字星，鸿|金认为周五收盘录得阳线，已经形成局部的“启明之星”底部信号，这将增加后市短线看涨信号，需要予以留意；目前5Daily moving average resistance53.2Nearby,10month1Resistance to daily highs54.84附近，关注 若能收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，周一操作思路上博虎论金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
Focus on resistance above:53.20；54.00；54.84 ；
　　
Pay attention to support below:51.85；50.52；50.00 ；
　　
The specific operational strategy for real-time changes in inter market prices shall be based on the guidance of Bohu Lunjin for actual trading, and Wei shall be added-Core:KD1394获取实时策略
Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-目标”缺一不可，而盲目的横冲直撞只会让自己的交易杂乱无章，所有人都可以接受不明不白的盈利，但只有能总结出明明白白的损失的交易者才能走的更远！投资是一门平衡的艺术，懂得了权衡与取舍，才算成熟，才不为固执所累，还在为之困惑的投资者们不要担心，投资路上你我共同加油。
　　
Bohu Lunjin Warm Reminder:
　　
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
　　
Bohu Lunjin Analysis Team Consultation and Guidance Wei//Your words:KD1394(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Author's message: May you and I start with words and match our personalities,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.
　　
Author of this article: Bohu Lunjin