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刘煜贤:黄金测试中期底部,后续回升指日可待

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  受贸易形势改善等因素影响,欧美股市全线反弹、美国国债收益率上升和风险偏好转向正在打压金价。金价日线录得四连阴,在这四个交易日金价跌幅超过60美元,几乎抹去了过去一个月的全部涨幅。另一方面,也看到市场gold多头获利了结情绪,短期看金价调整仍然继续,技术面短期存在向下修正的可能。
  
  不过,由于未来国际贸易形势仍具不确定性、全球央行宽松预期、以及欧元区英国、意大利政局等风险的存在,也在一定程度上为金价提供支持。目前有媒体消息称,仍然有不少机构普遍看好黄金前景。从全球最大黄金ETFSPDRGoldTrust持仓数据显示,昨日黄金持仓量维持不变,当前持仓量为882.42吨,总持仓量仍然处在高位水平附近。
  
  以眼下股市表现看,虽然存在对衰退的恐慌,但美股始终乐观,标普500似乎走出了2012and2016年来自低点恢复的模式。股市的乐观表现将帮助削弱对萧条来袭的恐慌,推升债券收益率,从而导致金价持续修正,这样情形无异于为何黄金眼下给出的行情,但这波修正何时结束,幅度多大都取决于美联储政策。
  
  若美联储维持降息至2020年,则将利涨黄金,即便收益率曲线的尾端将攀升,但若美联储9月降息,此后维持不变至2020year3月,则黄金将继续修正并消化近期获利。
  
  思路上保持逢低做多的思路。美盘给到1485-1490的区间,我们继续选择低多的思路,按照分析的思路和计划去执行!
  
  为什么要看涨?
  
  1: DayK的趋势通道支撑在1485这里,趋势通道支撑做多!日K是破脚饱和大阳线,逢低做多看波段回升。日K的指标需要回补,因此看回抽!日KofBOLLSupported on1485这里形成支撑。日K的箱体是1480-1555的箱体,靠近1480-1490的买盘做多!日K的结构暂时是头肩顶结构,需要在颈线支撑附近回补看涨!
  
  2:4小时的随机指标底背离之后金叉向上,MACD指标拖地金叉向上,这是暗示震荡向上。4小时出现两次反K回抽向上的反K信号。
  
  结合上述理由,就是低多的思路!所以今天即便不会出现强势的拉升,也不要去着急,因为行情需要酝酿!目前的支撑位置附近需要酝酿了,消耗的就是散户的耐心,动摇的就是分析师的决心!
  
  刘煜贤建议看好方向,认准计划,一切以计划执行为主,其余交给市场!
  
  第二手计划:跌破1480的买盘支撑,无力企稳,那么选择顺势沽涳,下方的目标在1450-1440这里!这就是防守计划!
  
  趋势看点:上方1506,1514,1520Below1490,1480,1475
  
  有任何疑难杂症,都可以添加作者进行咨询!始终秉持知无不言,言无不尽的原则!用最真诚的服务,最踏实的分析,带给你最大的收获!给我一个信任,还你一个梦想!
  
  市场涨跌两重天,交易成败在细节,细节的支撑点是在与内在心境的把控,行情可以乱,但是内心不能乱!
  
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
  
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV:lyx201037663
  
Liu Yuxian
  
  9.11(Writing))
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