Zhou Hongjin:9.8美元获得支撑，黄金承压明显；原油黄金最新行情走势操作建议

　　9month9日亚洲时段，美元指数窄幅震荡，上周美联储主席鲍维尔的讲话打压了9Monthly interest rate reduction50个基点的预期，短线有望继续给美元提供支撑；现货gold暂时在1505附近徘徊，美元的持稳和避险情绪的降温，令金价短线面临进一步下行风险；crude oil市场，美联储将采取“适当行动”来维持美国经济扩张，钻井数据连续三周下降，也给油价提供支撑，短线偏向震荡上攻。

　　

　　 Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　尽管非农表现欠佳，曾短暂给金价提供支撑，但市场对国际贸易局势的担忧情绪降温，打压黄金的避险需求；而且美联储主席鲍维尔不认为会发生经济衰退，重申将继续采取“适当行动”来维持经济扩张，这给美元提供支撑；此外，金价技术面出现顶部信号。
　　
　　周线来看，单边上涨后初步见顶；金价连续两周在1550上方受阻，录得带上影线阴线，KDJDead fork operation,MACD红色柱开始萎缩，金价也回落至5周均线下方，后市较大可能会震荡下行，初步支撑在10Weekly moving average1477.64Nearby;7month19日当周高点支撑1453.09Nearby, strongly supported1160-1557Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1405.65Nearby, currently20周均线支撑也在该位置附近。上方5周均线阻力目前在1515.78附近，鸿.金认为在收复该位置前，后市偏向震荡下行；8month16日当周高点阻力1535.11Nearby, due toMACD金叉信号仍在，若回升至该位置上方，则削弱后市看空信号。
　　
　　日线来看，高位震荡后初步向下突破；MACD顶背离后死叉运行，KDJDead fork operation,K线高位“吞没看空”，5日均线初步下穿10日均线结成死叉，金价初步见顶，短线偏向震荡下行，初步支撑在1500Near the integer level, then8month22Daily low point1492.57Nearby;1266-1557Upward trend23.6%Retraction position support1488.55附近，短线较强的支撑在8month13Daily low point1480.00附近。关注3268735920若进一步下破，则增加中线看空信号。上方20The daily moving average resistance is currently at1520.34Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance1529.41附近，若意外收复该位置，则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个建议个哦空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　 Focus on resistance above:1512.60；1520.34；1527.99；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1500.00；1492.57；1488.55；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1520Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1510-1508；
　　
　　2Callback1500Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1510-1512；
　　
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　 　原油走势分析：
　　
　　此前美联储主席鲍威尔表示，美联储将采取“适当行动”来维持美国经济扩张；美国原油钻井数据连续三周下降；再加上之前美国EIA原油库存下降，美国和伊朗局势依然紧张，国际贸易局势的担忧情绪有所降温，近期全球股市表现相对乐观，都给油价提供支撑，短线油价有望震荡上攻。
　　
　　周线来看，震荡；MACDThere is a dead cross trend,KDJ金叉运行，留意布林线中轨58.58附近阻力，鸿.金认为若顶破该阻力，则后市有望进一步涨向布林线上轨65.29附近；当然，汇价在7month12Daily and weekly highs60.94附近也还存在较强的阻力。下方初步支撑在10Weekly moving average55.99Nearby,5后均线支撑在55.61附近，若回落至该位置下方，则削弱后市看涨信号；强支撑在200Weekly moving average53.40Near.
　　
From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，布林线有轻微的开口继续，留意布林线上轨57,62附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，则后市油价偏向沿布林线上轨向上运行，初步阻力在100Daily moving average57.70Nearby, then7month31Daily high point58.82Nearby,7month16Resistance to daily highs60.06Nearby, strong resistance7month11Daily high point60.94Nearby. Below200日均线支撑爱56.12Nearby,20The daily moving average is supported by55.53附近，关注3268735920若意外回落至该位置下方，则削弱短线看涨信号。然后，布林线中轨支撑在55.15附近。综合来看，失守56.12前，后市偏向震荡上攻；所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
　　 Focus on resistance above:57.70；58.82；60.06；
　　
Pay attention to support below:56.12；55.53；55.15；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback56.1Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target57.5-57.7；
　　
　　2Rebound57.7Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target56.7-56.5；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
To sustain long-term growth in this market, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. Only in this way, whether it is a volatile market or a unilateral market, can you make steady profits, truly understand the trend, and achieve the same level of confidence in opening, positioning, risk control, and profit in closing positions! Investing never seeks overnight wealth, only steady and long-term profits, laughing until the end! Only when the heart is as calm as water can Qi penetrate the rainbow!
　　
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