Zhou Hongjin:8.29初请携GDP来袭黄金能否爆发？原油黄金晚间行情走势分析及操作建议

　　8month29日，英国女王批准约首相约翰逊在10month14日正式重启议会计划的消息继续发酵，这将限制议会在英国脱欧最后期限之前无法轻举妄动，增加无协议脱欧风险。意大利五星运动和反对档民主党努力组建联合政府，以避免提前选举并缓解经济不确定性。然而，组建联合政府的协议还没有完全敲定，这项初步达成的协议仍有可能破裂。
　　  
　　 goldTrend analysis:
　　
　　美元指数相对坚挺，令黄金多头顾忌，隔夜美股大涨，也打压避险需求；不过市场预计美国二季度GDP可能会小幅下修，市场对美国房市数据的预期也不乐观，英国硬脱欧风险仍存，有望给金价提供一些支撑。
　　
　　日线来看，单边上涨；MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，均线多头排列，若顶破1555.08附近阻力，则有望打开新的上涨空间，初步目标可以看向1600-1617区域，前者是整数关口，后者是2013year3month21日高点阻力。短线的话，2013year3month8Resistance at daily low points1561.62Nearby;2013year4month11Resistance to daily highs1568.50Nearby. However,K线显示上涨动能有所减弱，MACDandKDJ的金叉信号也比较弱，MACD更是严重顶背离，鸿.金认为仍需提防金价震荡筑顶的风险，或者高位震荡的可能性；目前5The daily moving average is supported by1535.52Nearby, this week's low point support is at1524.97Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by1519.43附近，若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号；进一步较强的支撑在20Daily moving average1506.18Near.
　　
　　2小时来看，震荡；布林线中轨给金价提供支撑，短线留意布林线上轨1547.66附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；进一步阻力在近期高点1555.08Nearby. However,MACD死叉信号延续，关注3268735920若失守布林线中轨1539.62附近支撑，则可能会进一步试探布林线下轨1531.56附近支撑；上一交易日低点1531.70附近也存在一些支撑。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　 Focus on resistance above:1546.84；1550.00；1555.17；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1535.36；1531.70；1524.97；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1535Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1548-1550；
　　
　　2Rebound1550Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1534-1532；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　 crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　EIA原油库存大幅下降，改善了市场对需求的担忧，但EIA美国原油产量增加2010000 barrels/日，再创历史新高，令油价承压；技术面来看，油价上涨动能有所减弱，震荡下行的风险有所增加。
　　
　　日线来看，震荡；均线交织，MACDandKDJ轻微金叉，但200日均线继续对油价形成压制，目前该阻力在56.12附近，鸿.金认为需顶破该阻力，才能增加短线看涨信号；进一步阻力在8month21Daily high point57.13Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance58.18Nearby. Below20The daily moving average is supported by54.88附近，由于上一交易日录得十字星，暗示上方卖压较强，若油价回落至20日均线下方，则增加短线看空信号；周二低点支撑在53.69Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports52.48nearby(near8month9Daily low point)。
　　
　　4小时来看，震荡上涨受阻；布林线上轨对油价形成压制，KDJDead fork operation,MACD红色柱萎缩，K线相对高位出现“吞没”看空，短线偏向下行，留意布林线中轨54.78附近支撑，关注3268735920若失守该支撑，则油价可能会进一步跌向布林线下轨53.01附近。若油价意外坚守布林线中轨54.78附近支撑，并上破布林线上轨56.56附近阻力，则增加后市看涨信号。综合来看，留意54.78—56.56区域突破情况，顶破56.12前，略微偏向震荡下行；所以今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　 Focus on resistance above:56.12；56.56；57.13；
　　
Pay attention to support below:54.78；53.69；53.01；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound56.5Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.4-55.2；
　　
　　2Callback54.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target55.8-56.0；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
There is a saying in the capital market: "Patience is an investment, and patience is the prerequisite for success." The courage and strategy of spot investment are necessary, and patience cannot be lacking! Spot trading must cultivate good endurance, which is often the key to investment success or failure. Many investors do not lack analytical skills or investment experience, but rather a high level of patience. Buying or selling too early can lead to pointless waste of time and loss of money.
　　
Investing in spot goods requires patience, seeking market opportunities requires waiting, and patience is needed; Holding a position is a process that requires investment of time, and therefore requires a high degree of patience, vision, and foresight. Do not be restless due to fluctuations in prices.
　　
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