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阮霏儿:12.19Analysis of Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions

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前言:做交易,顺境时不要忘记风险,逆境时要学会总结。总以为好心态跟性格有关,后来才发现,哪有天生的好心态,不过是懂得调整而已,稳定,不是学会抱怨,而是学会调整,当你一点一点学会克制住很多东西,才能驾驭好交易。
  市场普遍预期美联储本周可能释放鸽派信号,而且可能会下调2019点阵图预期,而且近期全球股市大跌和美元的回落,金价本周表现比较乐观,尽管还受到1260整数关口附近的阻力,但小幅商品的可能性较大;不过投资仍需提防“买事实,买预期”的情况出现。
  
  较大的可能性是,美联储利率决议前,甚至在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之前,金价都偏向震荡上涨,分别关注前期高点1256.3Nearby resistance and7month9Daily high point1284附近阻力;不过在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话后,需要提防空头反扑,尤其是在周五还将迎来美国11monthPCE物价指数和美国11月份耐用品订单数据,仍有可能令金价承压。
  
  gold技术面分析:从4小时图上看,黄金走势先重回下降通道线支撑,随后站上收敛三角形的支撑1240拉升向上冲刺,目前震荡测试上轨压力区域,小时图依托均线反弹拉升,MACD向上放量,仍有继续延伸的需求,市场对于美联储12Month and2019年加息规划的担忧,已经开始通过金价进行展示出来,不过节奏仍是震荡,在周四之前预计行情会继续维持区间震荡不变。短线趋势上,只要金价不跌破1240,金价有望向上攻击1260。如金价下破1240,金价仍然需要继续盘整,下方重要支撑看1240-1235Area.
  
Gold(1902)短线操作建议:高空为主,低多为辅。回调1249-1250附近多单进场目标1257Breaking through to see1260上方,如若未能突破前期高点1256.3Can be found in1256附近反手做空,目标1249-1240一线分批止盈。
Reminder: As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time you should focus on observation, patiently wait for the best opportunity, avoid frequent entry, and do not attempt to capture all the volatility in your operations. Also, do not expect to make correct judgments on each segment of the market. You should be cautious and precise!
  
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