范亦风：12.18美联储加息黄金市场分析

　　范亦风：12.18Federal Reserve raises interest ratesgoldmarket analysis
　　
What we have walked through is time, what we have seen is the market situation, what we have tasted is profit and loss, what we have tasted is gain and loss, what we have accumulated is experience, what we have achieved is realm, with countless emotions of bitterness, spiciness, sourness, and sweetness. We take it calmly and have no competition with the market. The market trend is constantly changing, and only by keeping up with the times and following the trend can we stand firm. A single flower cannot sustain a beautiful spring, nor can one person's power change the market trend. We only need to step on the train to the destination when the opportunity comes, and if the water is three thousand, we can only take a spoonful. The investment market is a place where miracles occur, believe in them, and create them. Profits require a complete system. Once we master this complete system, the market will no longer be unpredictable, but will become our friend.
　　
　　黄金市场消息面解读：
　　
　　本周我们重点关注周四凌晨03:00，美联储将公布利率决议，上次鲍威尔的鸽派言论行情直接上涨10个点，行情波幅还是有一定的影响，从预期来看相较于以往高达90%以上的加息概率，这次的预期有点低了，只有75%左右。加息虽然已经肯定，但是其中最令人担心的两个因素是股市抛售与收益率曲线倒挂。鲍威尔自上任起，一直延续耶伦时代的货币政策操作框架，维持循序渐进的加息路径。市场似乎习惯了机械的流程。万景恒也强调过川普作为反派也持续抨击美元过高的问题，总体思路还是低多中线看涨思路。
　　
　　quotations analysis
　　
　　技术面来看，上周黄金一度上涨受到1250关键压力位的承压，从日线上看是本轮至1196上涨的第二轮高点，目前趋势看来，空头明显回落无力。目前日均线依旧是多头排列状态，表明整体还是有很大的回升希望，但短线也有进一步回修调整的需要，注意整体上升行情回调是为了更好的上涨。4小时上，金价连续两个交易日于1252美元一带受阻回跌，但下方同时也支撑1230美元一线，震荡意味浓厚。目前的1252一线短线双顶，同时1230一线双底而布林带开口呈向上打开形态。MA均线呈多头排列趋势，且离散程
　　
　　12.18Gold operation suggestions：
　　
　　1、建议：黄金上方1251-1248Short selling, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1243-1238Nearby;
　　
　　2、建议：黄金下方1240-1238Long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1248-1250Near.