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姜段宁:12.17黄金原油日内走势分析,午间操作建议

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  1.成功的人不是赢在起点,而是赢在转折点。2人生没有如果,只有后果和结果。3人生就八个字,喜怒哀乐忧愁烦恼,八个字喜和乐只占两个,看透就好了。4少年的时光就是晃,用大把时间彷徨,只用几个瞬间来成长。5蓝天下便是阳光;艰苦后便是甘甜;失败了就当经验;成功时便是灿烂。
  
  goldMessage surface:
  
  上周五,受美国11月零销售数据公布的消息,因数据好于预期,美元受提振涨势扩大,直接站上97.71, refresh2017year5New high since the beginning of the month;现货黄金短线受到承压走低,跌破1232。当下,美元仍旧是左右现货黄金走势的重要因素,市场后市需重点关注本周举行的美联储加息会议。
  
  因美国总统多次公开反对加息,加之美联储诸位高官接连鸽派表态,市场对美联储的加息路径开始持怀疑态度。不过,刚刚公布的美国11月零销售数据录得良好却在一定程度上加强了市场对于美联储本周进行今年第四次加息的预期。
  
  美联储将于这周召开今年最后一次货币政策会议,如果美联储在加息会议上偏向鹰派,现货黄金将面临挑战。姜段宁认为,尽管美联储12月加息“板上钉钉”,但美联储很大可能会表现出谨慎的姿态,这将限制美元涨势,在一定程度上利好黄金。
  
Gold market analysis:
  
  日线级别:震荡下跌,区间参考1230-1240;KDJ结成死叉,MACD红色柱萎缩,短线略微偏向下行,留意1233附近支撑,若失守该位置,则增加短线看空信号,进一步支撑在11month21Daily highs and12month4Daily low point support at1230.30附近,该位置支撑较强,若进一步下破,则增加中线看空信号。若金价坚守1230支撑,则留意继续冲高的机会,上方初步阻力在周五高点1240附近,然后是本周高点1250.76附近,若顶破该位置,则有望打开新的上涨空间;200Daily moving average resistance1254Near.
  
  4小时级别:震荡下跌;MACD死叉运行并有下穿零轴的迹象,KDJGolden fork operation, opening of the Bollinger Line, gold price leaning towards the middle rail of the Yanbulin Line, currently being explored1240整数关口附近阻力,如果下破,料将进一步试探1232Nearby support, this position is1211-1250Upward trend38.2%回撤位,50%Withdrawal position and61.8%回撤位分别在1230.88and1226.19附近。上方留意布林线中轨1242.58附近阻力,若意外顶破该位置,则削弱短线看空信号,金价甚至有望重新上探布林线上轨1248.75附近阻力。下周上方阻力在1243One line, supported below1232一线操作上姜段宁建议高空为主,低多辅助。
  
  姜段宁个人建议还是以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,重点关注1243-1245One line of resistance, pay attention below1231-1233Frontline support.
  
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1.Lower callback to1231-1233Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1238-1240frontline;
  
  2.Above not broken1243-1245Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1235-1236frontline;
  
  交易并非易事,而是一丝不苟的思路和严谨的操作,望一路坎坷的你,早日脱离亏损泥潭,走上稳健收获的正轨。
  
Wen/姜段宁
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