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凡凡拾金:9.26原油日内行情分析,重点关注晚间EIAInventory data

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crude oilMessage surface:
    Beijing Time9month26In the early morning of the day, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of9month21Day and WeekAPIIncrease in crude oil inventory290.3Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease167.5Ten thousand barrels; Increase in gasoline inventory94.9Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil94.4万桶;数据公布后,美油短线走低。
    随着美国对伊朗的第二轮制裁大限临近,各个国家都开始减少或停止购买伊朗原油。伊朗23日发表声明称韩国已经完全停止进口伊朗石油,成为美国威胁在11月重启制裁伊朗石油出口后,第一个把伊朗石油进口量降至零的国家。伊朗制裁可能会对国际油市带来巨大冲击。法巴银行预计未来3-6个月,原油供应将因此出现缺口。不过另一方面,沙特阿美CEO表示,沙特阿美拥有150万桶的闲置产能,并希望在2020年将当前40010000 barrels/日的交易量提高至60010000 barrels/Day.
Technical analysis of crude oil:
     昨日原油小幅冲高回落,日内自72.2Up to72.7晚间再次跌至72下方。原油自突破71.4涨势已确定,目前不管是周线级别还是日线级别,多头趋势没改变,而短线4小时级别上目前出现顶价背离之势,预计短线会回落修正,日内可等待回落之后再布局多,下方关注71.4顶底转换支撑,预计在此迎来上涨。
    从美原油4小时级别来看,原油维持震荡向上格局,均线向上,表明整体趋势依旧向上,指标为多方调整阶段,后市有向下调整的需求。下方有明显的水平支撑线,只要不被跌破,行情将继续震荡走高。操作上建议低多为主。
9.25原油日内建议
     1、原油回落71.3-71.5Nearby, stop loss71, Objective72.4-72.8Break hold.
     2Crude oil rebound72.5-72.7Near empty, stop loss73, Objective72-71.5Just nearby.
     3、以上建议仅供日内参考,晚间EIA数据的具体操作,以本人实时指导为准。

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