Yuan Tao's release:11.7黄金、原油日内行情分析策略

　　本周一可以说是黑色星期一了，市场充斥了一定的不确定性，沙特自上周末展开的反腐风暴使海湾地区政局不稳；；另外纽约联储正式宣布杜德利将在2018年中期提前退休。这是在继副主席费希尔宣布辞职、鲍威尔确认为美联储下任主席之后，美联储较大的人事变动。消息公布后，美债收益率走平，促使部分投资者重返gold。而黄金价格在市场避险情绪推动下周一出现了较大力度的反弹。


　　在近期市场空头气息愈发浓烈的时候，而多头已悄然蓄力待发。一方面美联储“鸽派”接班人鲍威尔将上台，很可能延续耶伦当前的政策，对黄金而言是一大利好因素。另外债券市场正在向美联储发出警告！这也对当前黄金提供一定支撑，此外市场聚焦特朗普亚洲行。而朝鲜问题是特朗普此行的关注焦点之一，投资者将密切留意其有关朝鲜的言论，以及朝鲜是否会采取行动进行回应。


Gold Market Analysis


　　黄金日线收大阳线，多头有卷土重来之势，黄金日线刚好达到了20均线，今日黄金望小幅回落上破20均线，开启强势的反弹上涨模式，日线上行通道1284依旧有效压制，从指标上看，MACD绿柱在不断的缩短的趋势加强，同时快线有靠向慢线形成金叉的苗头，RSI目前低位震荡后拐头向上，明显的多头趋势，4From an early age,K线运行于布林带中上轨间，依托布林带上轨开口向上，有回调的需求，黄金望小幅走一波回调后在继续上看，上方关注1284Suppress, follow below1275支撑，日内建议回调做多为主，短线可以先空。

Recommendations for Gold Operations


　　1281Near empty, stop loss1284, Objective1276；


Callback1276Multiple, stop loss1273, Objective1282-1285；


　　crude oilquotations analysis


　　原油周线5连阳，日线3连阳，低点不断在抬高，高点不断创新高，昨日原油就说回调做为主，美盘前在55.7布局多单，凌晨尼日利亚石油部长：如果“存在合适的条款”，尼日利亚将支持欧佩克延长石油减产协议。原油冲高，原油多单目标56.2-56.5完美止盈。最高触及57.61回落，目前交投于57.25附近，日线来看，油价多头强势，K线运行于布林带上轨附近，短期均线呈多头发散分布，四小时来看，原油受阻57.6回落震荡，小时线承压57.6震荡下行，冲高有回落需求，上方关注58Suppress, follow below56.5一线支撑。日内建议回调做多为主，高空辅助。

Recommendations for crude oil operations


Above57.5Near empty, stop loss57.8, Objective57-56.8；


Callback56.8Nearby, stop loss56.5, Objective57.6-58破位持有


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US crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.04USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Silver: Fixed margin600USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.016USD return, fluctuating0.005USD profit and loss25USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


US Gold: Estimated Margin600USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.4USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Natural gas: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/10000mmBtuFluctuation0.004USD return, fluctuating0.001USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Meijing Copper: Fixed margin600USD in one hand/25000Pound, fluctuation0.0020USD return, fluctuating0.0005Profit and loss12.5USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Hang Seng Index: Fixed margin600USD in one hand/50港币，波动4港币回本，波动1Profit and loss of Hong Kong dollars50Hong Kong dollars, no spread, no overnight fee.


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　　笔者座右铭：顺应市场，待时而动