Zhou Jinrui5.12Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil,5May the easing of the monthly epidemic lead to a decline in gold?

already existing 297 Secondary Reading2020-5-12 11:11 |Personal classification:Gold and crude oil trend operation

What we have walked through is time, what we have seen is the market situation, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have accumulated is experience, and what we have achieved is the realm. We are filled with emotions of bitterness, spiciness, sourness, and sweetness, indifferent to the market, not worried about everything, not worried about things, not thinking about things, not greedy when encountering profits, not disorderly in times of danger, following orders according to departments, planning strategies, and operating step by step, so that we can stay in a chaotic market and steadily move forward. On the contrary: if one only craves profits, disregards risks, is aggressive and belligerent, and carries it to the end, they will inevitably fail. Those who are skilled in warfare have no outstanding achievements in battle! The market trend is constantly changing, and only by keeping up with the times and following the trend can we stand firm. A single flower cannot sustain a beautiful spring, nor can one person's power change the market trend. We only need to step on the train to the destination when the opportunity comes, and if the water is three thousand, we can only take a spoonful. The investment market is a place where miracles occur, believe in them, and create them. Profits require a complete system. Once we master this complete system, the market will no longer be unpredictable, but will become our friend.
  
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Analysis of Gold Market Trend
  
Last week, spot gold remained roughly at1680-1720The broad fluctuation of the US dollar led to a drop in gold prices during the week1690USD level; The last two trading days saw significant fluctuations in gold, with spot gold remaining at around1710-1719The US dollar fluctuated slightly, with the European market rising to1723.54The US dollar fell back and briefly broke through1710The US dollar level, after a slight rise at the opening of the US market, fell below again1710USD level, ultimately closing lower0.65%Report1704.06dollar/Ounces. The US dollar index closed lower0.11%Report99.73Points.
  
Technical analysis of gold: gold price4month27Hitting a new high in recent days1723.13After falling back, it once fell below1700Pass, refresh daily low to1699.82dollar/Ounces, the daily Bollinger track begins to close,MACDDead fork,KDJGolden fork; The gold price closed at5Daily moving average and10Near the intersection of the daily moving average, it indicates that the short-term trend of gold prices is highly variable, with a high point last Friday1723.13It is currently the initial resistance, and if it breaks through this position, the gold price may further explore4month23Daily high point1739.28, and even impact4month14Heliocentric1747.36This is7If the annual high is exceeded, a new upward channel will be opened. Gold from4From an hourly perspective, it oscillates widely; Bling belt opening,MACDGolden fork, reduced red energy column;KDJGolden cross, random index mild downward; This indicates that the short term long position of gold prices is insufficient, and there is a possibility of a volatile correction in the future. Follow below first1700Short term support, while also being subjected to10The double support of the moving average and the Bollinger Belt's mid rail is an important psychological barrier. If we fall behind, let's take a look1690This is the support level that has been tested multiple times recently.
  
Based on Jinrui's comprehensive analysis, it is recommended to focus on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by low and high selling, and pay attention to the top1722—1727Resistance, pay attention below1690—1685Support. The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market should be cautious. For more details, please follow Zhou Jinrui's personal office||Wei:(zjr5857)。
  
Analysis of crude oil market trend
  
British Prime Minister Johnson on Sunday local time19:00(Early Monday morning Beijing time02:00)Publish a roadmap for lifting the blockade measures. At present, restarting the economy has become the main task of European and American countries. Even the UK, which is the worst affected by the epidemic, has started to restart the economy, indicating that the epidemic has indeed improved in Europe and America and has been effectively controlled. This is a significant benefit for the commodity market. Previously, major oil producing countries such as Saudi Arabia raised oil prices, indicating that the market will be more optimistic about crude oil demand. We need to focus on this weekEIAThe performance of the weekly crude oil inventory report andOPECThe content of the monthly report on the crude oil market; In the past few weeks,EIAInventory data shows an unexpected decline in gasoline inventory, reflecting the market's rebound in demand for crude oil. The market is concerned about the upcoming announcementOPECThere are certain pessimistic expectations in the monthly report, and we need to be careful that oil prices will fall from high levels.
  
Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil opened last Friday at23.362Level, affected by the significant drop in oil prices on the previous trading day, the oil price has run out of short positions and rebounded in long positions, with the highest being25.0There are signs of pressure on the level, with oil prices dropping but not breaking below the opening low, followed by a rebound and finally closing at24.643Horizontal; The daily chart of crude oil shows that the daily close is a small positive line, with high points not breaking the previous high and low points not breaking the previous low. There is an inner envelope pattern, and the moving average system is arranged in short positions. HoweverkOn the line station20Daily moving average and30The moving average shows signs of weakening bearish momentum in trend indicators, while oil prices are22.5-26.7The interval is running4On the first trading day, the overall performance was high and fluctuating. The four hour chart of crude oil shows that after a continuous rise, there are signs of resistance in crude oil. The oil price has completed one wave and three waves to drive the rise, and it is expected that there will be four wave adjustments. If the oil price falls below the oscillation range26.7-22.5Important support attention below21.3-19.9Position, if held in today's decline22.5Position support is likely to weaken the adjustment range of the four waves of crude oil and further transform into a platform based adjustment.
  
Based on Jinrui's comprehensive analysis, it is recommended to focus on the lower part and pay attention to it below22.5-22.0Short term support, top focus26.6-27.5Short term resistance. Specific operation of gold and crude oil intraday prices, trend analysis, operational suggestions, and unwinding. Online ordering and real-time market changes are recorded on the official WeChat account of Zhou Jinrui:zjr5857】Subject to firm offer
  
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